Talk-Polywell.org

Hah, I love it. I have a bit of #1 and #2 in me, but for the most part, I'm all #3.

Josh, no we do not know that. All we know is what you say. That is the only way we have of knowing what you mean. To have a reasoned discussion, one absolutely must be nitpicky, because a reasoned discussion requires accurate communication, and accurate communication requires being nitpicky. No, if...

Oh god you guys know I didn't mean sea ice but rather land ice at the poles. God you people are nitpicky and don't actually care about reasoned discussion. Josh, no we do not know that. All we know is what you say. That is the only way we have of knowing what you mean. To have a reasoned discussion...

Sea ice can melt all it wants, and at most, the sea levels will drop . Sea ice melting is a complete and utter non-issue. It is a non-issue because ice floats on water, and anything that floats displaces water of equivalent volume to the floating object's mass. This means that the water in sea ice i...

Josh and jmc: I don't actually care whether you agree with it or not, I was only saying that from what Josh was saying, it seemed he did not understand what was being said. And jmc: it seems you might not quite understand it (or maybe what I said): there's no mention in the article on how our civili...

I agree with much of it. Fortunately for us when the east cost lost power the people stayed sane. I'm not so sure you understood the message, particularly the final part that I quoted. It's about taking the fruits of civilization for granted while at the same time denigrating that same civilization...

Civilizations fall because people bitch and complain when the electricity is off for fifteen minutes, and never give a thought to the fact that it has been on for their entire lives.

Amen. Unfortunately, I have to plead guilty.

Ah, thank you. I could hear "It's a dun dun dun dun" in my head, but couldn't think of the words to get the title.

What's the name of The Who's song? I just can't quite dig it out of my memories (I'm sure I did know it as I recognize the tune).

Anne McCafferey's Pern books (as well as most of her SF, especially Restoree). Various Heinlein (particularly Number of the Beast and Time Enough for Love (I especially like Lazarus' notes: they've probably been my biggest influence)). Marion Zimmer Bradley's Darkover and Survivor series. Doom (yes,...

Josh Cryer wrote:You can't detect a trend in short term intervals.

Actually, you can, but using it to prove anything is another matter. More importantly, such a trend tells you that you had best keep a close eye on things as it just might prove to be a real trend, or even a full blown turning point.

MSimon wrote:My job is to sow enough fear, uncertainty, and doubt, until the weather can finish the job.

Sounds like a good idea to me. There seems to be way to much certainty in the world these days.

It looks like the graph is a little flatter in the early years. However, it also seems there is less data available in the early years, which might be part of why it's flatter.

That said, the graph does look very linear from about 1920 on, though about 2-3mm/yr. Why does that seem familiar?

I actually always had the carbon cycle in mind, thus my "assuming" comments. The carbon cycle affects the lower asymptote of the decay curve. This means that instead of zero, the minimum will be somewhere between 0 and 380 (WAG: 120 (based on that 20:1 ratio)).

Josh: I ran some very basic numbers on supplied (or well known) numbers, with a basic assumption or two (mostly for the calculation of the mass of the atmosphere). I presented my results and my conclusions for peer review. So far, I have not received anything that I would call quality review. BTW, I...