Diogenes wrote:KitemanSA wrote:I suspect it is more like X^Y where Y>1, probably >2. As a deterant, the quantity of "getting smoked" has a quality all its own.Diogenes wrote: [I think for every number "X" of bad guys who get smoked by an armed citizen, the deterrence effect is X+Y, with Y being a non negative number. There are a lot of criminals who decide not to take the chance when they hear that criminals are getting shot.
Lest I be thought of as "unreasonable", I was being cautious with my numbers. I agree with your numbers.
Kind of makes one wonder....what is the contrary "multiplier effect"? That is not so many years ago, if you shot someone under similiar circumstances alot of places(like Britain today), you would be crucified by the media. You not the criminal you defended yourself against would have been the villian. If they were unable to legally convict you for murder/manslaughter, than miraculously the relatives of the deceased criminal would have no trouble finding lawyers to sue you into bankruptcy. Wonder if that tended to embolden criminals? Again one of those kinds of things that are tough to quantify....the rape/mugging that happens when bad guys read about citizens pilloried by the authorities(& media) when they defended themselves, and they take heart & are encouraged by that. Like what happened to Bernard Goetz years ago. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernard_Goetz