2014 hottest year on record

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TDPerk
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by TDPerk »

And Watts Up With That has already posted the takedown, where it is shown the error bars are so far apart from the reported increase, it's almost as likely 2014 was colder than 2013 as warmer.

The global temperatures have been flat for 18 years, something the warmist's models do not allow.

So the models are trash.
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ohiovr
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by ohiovr »

January 2014 was very cold and the summer was unbelievably mild in Ohio. We had the air conditioners running only a few days that summer and it was also very low humidity (unusual for Ohio).

They said that the North Pole was going to be ice free recently. I think the ice is still there.

hanelyp
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by hanelyp »

To riff on an old line, the claims of record heat are lies, <bleep> lies, and government sponsored manipulated data statistics.
The daylight is uncomfortably bright for eyes so long in the dark.

williatw
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by williatw »

NASA, NOAA claim 2014 was hottest year on record disputed by climate scientists


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Protesters demanding economic and political changes to curb the effects of global warming





The Associated Press reported on Friday that both NASA and NOAA have released a report claiming that 2014 was the hottest year since such records had been collected. This evaluation was instantly criticized by a number of climate scientists, claiming that the conclusions were misleading and based on flawed data. The report has heated up the climate change debate which has roiled both the scientific community and political circles for decades.

At issue is the theory that the Earth is steadily warming due to human activity, mainly the pumping of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere. The warming is causing the sea levels to rise, drought conditions, and other catastrophic developments. Only draconian measures, which would adversely impact the lives of billions of people, will suffice to save the planet.

A number of climate scientists dispute the NASA and NOAA findings. The climate change skeptics, whom global warming advocates call “deniers,” point out that the 2014 temperature readings are .04C degrees above similar readings taken in 2010 and 2005, well within the margin of error. They also suggest that the findings, taken primarily from data derived from surface sensors, are less accurate that those from satellites. The satellite data suggest that the 18 year plus “pause” in global warming has continued,
The climate change skeptics, such as astrophysicist Dr. David Whitehouse, pointed out that temperatures measured in the real world, whether by satellites or surface sensors, show a much smaller warming increase than computer models used by global warming advocates to project future warming trends. Dr. Roger Pielke Sr., professor of atmospheric science, Colorado State University, suggested that a number of other factors come into play besides greenhouse gasses to determine warming that need further study.

“More generally, we need to move beyond just assessing global warming, but examine how (and if) key atmospheric and ocean circulations, such as El Nino, La Nina, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, etc. are changing in their intensity, structure and frequency. These are the climate features that determine if a region has drought, floods, and so forth, not a global average surface temperature anomaly.”

In short, before governments start disrupting the world economy with policies aimed at curtailing fossil fuels, a better understanding of what actually causes climate needs to be acquired. Indeed, if White House Science Advisor John Holdren is correct, such measures may have unintended consequences. Holdren, who spent much of the 1970s predicting a new ice age, has concluded that global warming is now holding off the onset of that ice ages Shades of “Fallen Angels,” a science fiction novel that predicted that very thing.

http://www.examiner.com/article/nasa-no ... scientists

williatw
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by williatw »

Scientists Fear Another ‘Little Ice Age’ Is On The Way

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Winter is coming.

Last year may have been the warmest on record, but it has done little to quell the fears of scientists arguing that declining sunspot activities could bring on another “little ice age.”


Shrinivas Aundhkar, director of India’s Mahatma Gandhi Mission at the Centre for Astronomy and Space Technology, said declining amounts of sunspots being observed in the last two solar cycles could mean a “mini ice age-like situation” is around the corner.

“The sunspots that can be seen on the sun have comparatively less temperature compared to other surfaces on it,” Aundhkar told people at a lecture entitled “Get Ready for Little Ice Age.”

“The sun undergoes two cycles that are described as maximum and minimum,” Aundhkar said. “The activity alternates every 11 years, and the period is termed as one solar cycle. At present, the sun is undergoing the minimum phase, reducing global temperatures.”


For years now, scientists have been warning that fewer observed sunspots could mean the Earth is heading for a cooling period. This view, however, has not been adapted by many scientists studying global warming, who say that human activity and natural climate cycles are warming the planet.

High sunspot activity has been associated with periods of warming on the Earth, like the period between 1950 and 1998. Scientists have noted that low sunspot activity has coincided with cooler periods, like the so-called “Little Ice Age” that lasted from the late Middle Ages to the 19th century, where temperatures were much cooler than today.

The past few years have seen more and more scientists argue that declining solar activity likely means cooler temperatures ahead. At the end of 2013, for example, German scientists predicted a century of global cooling based on declining solar activity and ocean oscillation cycles.

“Due to the de Vries cycle, the global temperature will drop until 2100 to a value corresponding to the ‘little ice age’ of 1870,” wrote scientists Horst-Joachim Luedecke and Carl-Otto Weiss of the European Institute for Climate and Energy.


Earlier that year, Professor Mike Lockwood of Reading University told BBC News that declining solar activity has set the stage for global cooling.

“By looking back at certain isotopes in ice cores, [Lockwood] has been able to determine how active the sun has been over thousands of years,” the BBC reported. “Following analysis of the data, Professor Lockwood believes solar activity is now falling more rapidly than at any time in the last 10,000 years.”

Aundhkar now argues that winter temperatures have dropped in the North Pole, causing severe winters, like the so-called “polar vortex” experienced by the U.S. last winter.

“This has also triggered the jet stream, which is active in the northern parts of the globe to shift in inter tropical climate zone like India,” Aundhkar said. “As a result, cold wind conditions were witnessed during the last two years. The unseasonal hailstorms in November and December are a result of the influence of the jet stream. This has also led to steady weakening of magnetic energy of the sun, leading to mini ice age like situation.”

Aundhkar’s explanation for harsh winters runs counter to the explanation given by White House science czar John Holdren, who said that global warming was driving freezing and snowy winters.

In a White House video from last year, Holdren claimed a “growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues.”

But Aundhkar disagrees. He argues that Earth is heading for another cooling period like the 17th century, when sunspots were very quiet.

"The Earth may be heading towards a mini-ice age period, which is similar to what was observed in the 17th century,” Aundhkar said. “During the time, the sunspots on the Sun were absent. This led to a drop in northern hemisphere temperature by 2-3 degrees. The current scenario is almost the same. Such climatic conditions might affect the agricultural pattern and health and trigger disasters in the worst scenario.”






http://dailycaller.com/2015/01/21/scien ... n-the-way/

williatw
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by williatw »

As oil and gas prices tumble, it’s a good time to reflect on the marvels of the market and Julian Simon


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At today’s price of $2.09 per gallon, gasoline prices in the US are the lowest in history, adjusting for increased fuel economy and higher wages as the chart above illustrates. At today’s average fuel economy of 25.1 miles per gallon, a typical car would require just under four gallons of gas, which would cost $8.32 at today’s price of $2.09. At the estimated average hourly wage today of $20.82, a typical worker would have to work for 24 minutes to earn enough pre-tax income to purchase the gas required to drive 100 miles, and that brings the “time cost of gas” priced in minutes of work to the lowest level in US history.

It’s therefore a great time for us to acknowledge and celebrate the importance of falling gas and oil prices, as Jeffrey Tucker suggests in his excellent and timely article “All Hail the Tumbling Price of Gas: The people against the powerful at the pump.” As Jeff points out, consumers should be especially happy about today’s low gas prices because there are many very powerful special interest groups who are very unhappy that gas prices are approaching $2.09 per gallon (and 43.5% below the $3.70 price in April) and that oil prices are below $50 per barrel.

As Jeff describes it, today’s low gas prices are an impressive tribute to the “marvels of the market” and he points out that there are at least eight very powerful special interest groups who benefit from high prices for gas and oil, and they hate today’s low prices. But even the combined power of those eight powerful groups hasn’t been able to counteract the powerful market forces that have brought gas prices down so quickly and dramatically:
Despite it all — and despite every effort by the world’s most powerful people — all the pressure is downward. It’s a shock, to be sure, but a glorious one. The low price comes about despite a vast and unrelenting barrage of policies and attempts to raise it. Think for a moment of all the powerful interests in the world that have pushed for higher gas prices only to see their ambitions frustrated by a reality they despise.

1. The environmentalists are desperate for higher prices because they are against driving and internal combustion generally, which they believe spoil the planet. They want us pedaling around on bicycles as in Mao’s China or enduring mass transit, or slogging from place to place on foot. They’ve been hectoring us about this for decades. A high price for gas is the best way to bring about their dream to discourage consumption. They cringe with every penny drop. “Fracking” is their F-bomb.

2. And don’t forget about the gloom-and-doom industry. It was only some 10 years ago that “peak oil” theorists were explaining to us how oil was running out and prices were going to soar. We’d better start hoarding, they said, because soon the pumps will be dry. How wrong they were. The new gloomers are all about the supposedly terrible glut of oil.

3. The oil industry itself is similarly unhappy with lower prices because they devastate profits and make it impossible to fund more drilling, production, and exploration. When the oil industry was closest to the presidency, under the Bush years — both father’s and son’s presidencies — it worked to keep prices and production high. Even war for oil became part of this strategy. The industry’s benchmark price is $100 per barrel of crude. But it has no power to make that happen. That’s because the oil industry doesn’t finally control the price of its product.

4. Some of the world’s richest and most powerful states, from Saudi Arabia to Russia to Iran to the United Arab Emirates, consider high oil prices to be their lifeblood. A US gas price that is double or triple the current one could mint a slew of new billionaires. As it is, the rich and mighty just sit watching the price and weep with their heads in their hands. How pathetic was the statement by King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia who said in a speech that he would deal with a lower price “with a firm will”? Will as much as you want, Your Highness, but it is not going to matter. Your will is not decisive. No one’s is.

5. In the United States, both states and localities depend on oil for their entire revenue stream. Politicians in places like Alaska, Texas, and Louisiana are actually in emotional meltdown about this price trend. If they could fix it, they would.

6. Then there are the urban planners — not to speak of legions of intellectuals — who loathe lower prices. They want prices to soar to punish all us drivers and get us to use their subways, buses, and taxi monopolies instead. That we keep insisting on sitting in our comfy bucket seats and driving these machines around makes them crazy. Low gas prices only encourage us to do more of what we love — and what they hate.

7. It’s been a huge priority for government generally to subsidize alternative energies, ones that don’t depend on fossil fuels. So long as gas remains affordable, alternative fuels will not get the boost that regulators want them to.

8. Then there are the central banks run by people who are convinced that falling gas prices are a bad omen of generalized deflationary trends. For five years, they’ve fought relentlessly against deflation, but there is a crucial thing they can’t control: the rate at which people themselves spend and borrow. There’s the rub. It’s because consumers haven’t cooperated that the Fed has not achieved its aims.
Bottom Line: With the price of gasoline at its lowest level ever when adjusted for fuel economy and measured in “time cost,” it’s a great time to celebrate the “marvel and power of the market and market prices” and Jeff Tucker does that exceptionally well in his article. Resource economist Julian Simon must be smiling right now because he predicted throughout his noteworthy career that the prices of commodities and resources would generally trend downward in the long run due to market forces, innovation, and technology. Today’s low gas and oil prices are an appropriate tribute to Julian Simon, and a compelling confirmation of his many decades of work and writing on resource economics.

https://www.aei.org/publication/oil-gas ... ian-simon/

Skipjack
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by Skipjack »

Right now OPEC is dumping prices to ruin oil producers from the US and even more those in Russia. Both can not compete at oil prices that low. Once they are out of the picture, they will most certainly raise prices again. I am also a bit worried about the destabilizing effect this might have on Russian and US economies and that could be a pretext to another big war.

choff
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by choff »

If it gets to be too much of a problem arrangements will be made for ISIS terrorists and saboteurs to spill over the border into Saudi Arabia and the Emirates. If that doesn't drive prices back up they can always arrange a war between Iran and the Saudis.
CHoff

Skipjack
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by Skipjack »

choff wrote:If it gets to be too much of a problem arrangements will be made for ISIS terrorists and saboteurs to spill over the border into Saudi Arabia and the Emirates. If that doesn't drive prices back up they can always arrange a war between Iran and the Saudis.
Personally I think the Saudis need some democracy anyway ;)

hanelyp
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by hanelyp »

Most of OPEC can't survive these low oil prices for very long.
The daylight is uncomfortably bright for eyes so long in the dark.

mvanwink5
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by mvanwink5 »

British and Venezuelan socialism is in danger as oil has been their prop (although north sea oil was waining already), and then there is European socialism which Greece threatens anew (will uncle Obama bail them out again as they are too big to fail?). What fun is ISIS + Ukraine on top of the green blob - it's too hot - NYC ice cream sundae (on Tuesday)?

Yes, 2014 may have been the year with the hottest smoke blown, but 2015 is likely to have the highest drama with Obama kissing the one ring to rule them all, while handily juggling the Repubs, and a banner year for Fox's page 3 of the Sun.


PS Biden has proclaimed it is Man's God given right to stand in line for their Guberment rationed and dictated medical treatment. You haven't truly seen insanity until 2015.
Near term, cheap, dark horse fusion hits the air waves, GF - TED, LM - Announcement. The race is on.

choff
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by choff »

The way I heard it was the Saudi's and Emirates are sitting on a $875 Billion contingency reserve, so they can ride out low oil prices until all marginal players are crushed, plus Iranian oil will be coming on market. That's why I think you'll see military action involving beheadings, bombings, nuclear saber rattling and all the rest, it's what's called 'price discovery' in the petroleum business.
CHoff

ohiovr
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by ohiovr »

hanelyp wrote:Most of OPEC can't survive these low oil prices for very long.
There will be an Arab spring, summer, fall and winter this year.

MSimon
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Re: 2014 hottest year on record

Post by MSimon »

it's what's called 'price discovery' in the petroleum business.

LOL and LULZ. How true.
Engineering is the art of making what you want from what you can get at a profit.

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