Talk-Polywell.org

because he is a stupid crook. QED.

ps. i second sentiments of polyill and stefan above - courageous work (-out) ladajo. but i don't think you will save the remaining rosssibots here - they are too far gone already - let them go man - let us hope they are put out of their misery painlessly, soon - poor well-meaning souls.

of Cold Fusion in general - there is something in the air for sure - let us hope for some 'real' Eureka moment around the next corner.

Crooks, certainly the ones we know about, are stupid. Maybe all are.

Rossi, I think, is an inveterate liar/truth bender who likes the attention he gets from claiming miracles. He getting better at doing this - compare E-cats with petroldragon. So he is clever at being stupid.

Rossi makes his own rope. He even ties his own knot.

_________________
The development of atomic power, though it could confer unimaginable blessings on mankind, is something that is dreaded by the owners of coal mines and oil wells. (Hazlitt)
What I want to do is to look up C. . . . I call him the Forgotten Man. (Sumner)

"More cunning than a fox who has just graduated from the university of cunning"

He dreams of owning his own coffee machine. But it is not to be.

Luckily, he no longer seems to be the only show in town. lets hope for a better show from those credible few still in the race.

A new one is up at the plate.

http://www.e-catworld.com/2012/04/more- ... xperiment/

http://www.e-catworld.com/2012/04/engli ... anor-cell/

These articles describe an open source cold fusion experiment with a COP = 4.

Do Italian high school kids, their teachers and the high school lie?
And they are going open source.

I gave it a quick look, no time to go into details.

It looks to me like they did not account for any chemical side process inside the cell.
Namely Tungsten to different Tungsten oxides will give you an average of 180 Kcal/mol. More than enough to justify the extra heat.

I applaud their effort and their openness in publishing all the details but I am afraid this experiment will not stand a more accurate replication.

Still it is great to see students and teachers getting involved in these type of experiments, especially in a country like Italy where this is absolutely uncommon.
Even if they did not discover a cold fusion route it will be an invaluable lesson for all of them on how science should work and how scientific research is able to self-correct when all the details of an experiment are openly published.

Double thumbs up to everyone involved! Back to china work now.

@Ladajo

your 5 pages of Rossi's timeline should be extracted from this thread and placed as a sticky at the top of the news section.
Great resume of this saga so far!

Axil,
we are already looking at the Italian High School thing. It was posted previously.

Giorgio,
Just think, I only took it up until the timeframe just before the 1MW "Demo" in Italy. Which, from the Rossiquoteline clearly begs the questions, "Why in Italy?" and "Why at all?" These are in recoginition of the two fundamental themes he preached going into it, "The Customer has bought it, he can do with it as he pleases", and "We built it in the USA, and the most important Customer will be installing it in the Northeast USA".

I would really love to see the shipping documents and customs forms. Assuming of course, that they even exist.

Cheers

_________________
The development of atomic power, though it could confer unimaginable blessings on mankind, is something that is dreaded by the owners of coal mines and oil wells. (Hazlitt)
What I want to do is to look up C. . . . I call him the Forgotten Man. (Sumner)

As described the experiment has ~7g of tungsten, AMU 184.

So we have 7/184 = 0.04 Mol. That does not include the electrode, which is also tungsten, 1.6mm diameter, say 5cm long? Tunssten density is 20g/cc. We have are 2 sq mm = 0.02 cc^2 area, so total volume of 0.1cc => an extra 2g. So ignore this.

There is also a stainless steel mesh anode. Ignore possible reactions with this (though maybe we should not). It could release energy reacting with the electrolyte.

At 180kJ/mol we have 7kJ released. Suppose we use 100W input, that would be equivalent to 70s.
So if the reaction lasts a minute at this power we have max COP of 2 from tungsten reacting. The instructions claim 90-240s reaction. So this chemical effect could provide a significant error, but not by itself COP of 4.

[I have no idea what the correct enthalpy is for Tungsten in this experiment. It looks to me as though it would form Tungstate ions in the aqueous solution. I'll believe giorgio 180kCal/mol with reservations.]

However we have some other sources of error.

The power out is calibrated by looking at the temperature vs time curve for the cell with no current and initially hot electrolyte.
We have differences between heat loss (evaporation and convection followed by conduction to walls) in the two cases. for example what if the current causes small bubbles to cling to the walls of the container so partially insulating it?

The power in is calculated from DC current and voltage produced by rectifying mains. Let us suppose the cell looks like a resistive load. Pirelli says that he calculates:

P = Vdc * Idc.

However the voltage and current here will be average values =
peak value * (2 / pi)
Power will be average of the two waveforms multiplied
peak value * (1/2)

So the power input will be Vmeasured*Imeasured*(4/pi)

Actually this is overestimating input power by 30%, so his COP of 4 would in fact be COP of 5 or so.

This analysis assumes the cell looks like a resistive load.

In the case there is some nonlinear effect increasing current at higher voltage we could worse case get a very spiky current waveform with P ~ Vpeak * Iav. In that case we have
P = Vdc*Idc*(pi/2).

This underestimates the input power by a factor of 1.6, making calculated COP of 4 only 2.5.

One more error. If the voltage and current values are very variable a DC meter may give completely the wrong answer.

The errors here are potentially so large we need to use a proper power meter measurement, and log the results for proper integration.

That is all I can think of initially.

One other thought. I bet the COP quoted of 4 is the maximum value over the 90s etc run. In which case average COP though the run would be lower.

So here is what real LENR people should do. Run the experiment as shown here carefully:
Work out average COP.
Then try to bound, or control for, the other errors.
Using a proper power meter would help.
Running calibreation after the run to see if it has changed would help.
Bounding chemical energy more properly would help.

That is only an initial set of possible errors, and I am no calorimetry expert. I would very much like to see LENR people do at least these (obvious) things.

Best wishes, Tom

So the end of April has come and past, and no word about the Defkalion tests.

Two possibilities come to mind:

1. There was never anything to it.

2. There's something to it, but powerful interests have managed to latch on and change the objectives. We might never see a home heater from them, but drones will be in the skies for months at a time. Or whatever.

In any case, it's not very encouraging.

Obviously, you didn't get the memo.
The public testing and test results are now secret testing and test results. So secret, they don't talk about them at all anymore.

_________________
The development of atomic power, though it could confer unimaginable blessings on mankind, is something that is dreaded by the owners of coal mines and oil wells. (Hazlitt)
What I want to do is to look up C. . . . I call him the Forgotten Man. (Sumner)

Nothing new in April, but supposedly something is going to happen in July. I forgot exactly what it was, so it must have been pretty important. Also, you can now apply for a job at Defkalion.

_________________
“Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo.” —attr. to Andy Finkel, among others

Oh dear. I hope the same thing doesn't happen with Polywell should it be successful!

I can imagine the Navy internally saying they need to keep it secret so they can build a hundred or so to power FELs in S. Korea, Taiwan and "somewhere" in the Middle East for missile (and in S. Korea's case, artillery) defense. Quick before anybody notices.


It would make for a very interesting disruption in the world balance of military power, however brief

What world balance of military power?

In any event, having the energy is one thing, doing something useful with it is another. If anything, I think that if we (the US) do develop Polywell successfully, it would just further widen the real capabilities gap. We have a number of things on the burner as game changers, where power source density is a big consideration for fielding.

_________________
The development of atomic power, though it could confer unimaginable blessings on mankind, is something that is dreaded by the owners of coal mines and oil wells. (Hazlitt)
What I want to do is to look up C. . . . I call him the Forgotten Man. (Sumner)