Talk-Polywell.org

Shrub's greatest enduring achievement will be moving the country effectively to the Left. Best since Hoover for doing that, and the GOP's current insistence on "market solutions" to the various market meltdowns is only doing it all the more. Therein is the disconnect. The right confuses Adam Smith ...

We're gonna reach about $175 - $200 /bbl in a year or two by best estimates, At what point does a world depression impinge on those estimates ? Or are you refering to the falling dollar, and not the world price for oil ? World price. Goldman Sachs got it right, and they're telling us again. " Earli...

How ever many layers of complication you like to consider regarding futures and derivatives etc., etc., Oil get mined oil gets burned and made into plastics and the difference goes towards increasing inventories or decreasing them. Whether that oil is waiting to be bought or booked for the future. ...

I think the whole question of speculation is not bidding up the price of oil in hand but of bidding up the price of oil futures, through futures contracts and in the murky world of futures derivatives. I don't think for a minute this is primarily to blame, however, but just adds to the problem we ha...

In 1908 the consensus was our Galaxy comprised the entire universe. And they thought they had nearly nailed down all the laws of physics. So? Did they have access to data and inforamation at the time that said otherwise? Instead of looking at an example about when they were wrong, look at WHY they ...

Any model or view based on the premise that CO2 levels follow temperature has a huge burden of proof to overcome that always is ignored, and probably impossible to show. OK. Here is a possibility: 1. The oceans hold as dissolved CO2 50X the CO2 in the atmosphere 2. If you heat the oceans they hold ...

Yes I do. It's not your classical thermometer, but... anyway - here are my readings. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/icecore/antarctica/vostok/vostok_isotope.html You have what everyone else has -- a proxy. Regardless of the "thermometer" used, asserting that there is a relationship between CO2 and ...

Chaos dictates that we should put very little faith in climate models. We don't know what all the variables are, much less any details of projecting states in the future through the interrelationship of the variables. We can count on the individual variables, however. We know this: An increase in th...

The difficulty I see in raising the standard of living for all is it only gets raised for those with jobs, and that modernisation is all about reducing the number of jobs to reduce costs. Perhaps if you had a way to share things out a little better, you wouldn't end up with so much povety. I think ...

TallDave wrote:
Yeah, I wonder about that interplay.

It's pretty clear from the fossil record that in the very early days of life on Earth, CO2 levels were much higher ....

The Sun is also 30% hotter than 4 billion years ago.

Thanks for the reading material; intresting stuff. I'll have to get back to it along with the material Simon posted. I see two indicators from Jared Diamond's books that climate warming was more extensive than Europe alone. One is the westward movement across the Canadian Arctic of the Eskimos. The ...

The Mann analsysis was a real eye-opener for me. Much of it turns out to be based on tree growth analysis -- which for some species is actually more sensitive to CO2 than temperature. So they were actually measuing CO2 levels, not the effect of CO2 levels on temp. Also, Mann's "hockey stick" says t...

That's interesting, I had thought they were already testing. Maybe this interview was done prior to the blog entry, or perhaps Nebel means "testing" in a more formal "official results" sense. Or is it possible they're setting up to do some POPS experimenting in addition to validating the WB-6 data?...

There is a paragraph about Dr. Nebel's efforts. Good, but I thought experiments were underway. As all of us, I get a little steamed about the "pittance" thing....
http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/ ... 51992.aspx

I can't believe the value of an atmospheric model can be in the result; A terrible model is a terrible model even if it agrees accurately with a good one. Similiarly, two good atmospheric models can disagree in the predicted result. Moral: Don't try to predict the weather more than 5 days out. Maxwe...