Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Point out news stories, on the net or in mainstream media, related to polywell fusion.

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mvanwink5
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by mvanwink5 »

their (TAE) power plants will be significantly larger (in terms of area) than Helion's.
Yes, that is because of TAE's back end is steam turbine + generator + condenser heat to electric conversion, but for a retrofit fossil plant that is a sunk cost. OTH, Helion avoids the retrofit restriction with direct conversion **using the same hardware used for fusion,** a massive advantage for new installations. TAE will need to **eventually** go for direct conversion.

Zap made a breakthrough with a liquid metal electrode which I thought (the electrode) was going to be their major issue. Zap seems to have achieved a good model for their approach based on published papers, so it may be just a matter of time to get high enough electrode current & electronics. Maybe someone has better insight on what the issue is if that is not the delay.
Counting the days to commercial fusion. It is not that long now.

TallDave
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by TallDave »

if they all work, I can't see how Zap or TAE could compete with Helion economically in the long run, but at least they'd be much closer than ARC

of course any of them may not work :)
mvanwink5 wrote:
Fri Dec 19, 2025 4:35 pm
TAE does not use massive power pulses to produce B field pulses like Helion as their machine is steady state operation. Instead, they accomplish stability with continuous NBI. Capital cost per machine therefore is lower (their latest breakthrough)). However, (at this point) they need higher capital cost on the Fusion generator power conversion back end (works for retrofitting existing fossil plants). They do have the possibility of direct conversion
ah, but steady-state magnetic fields are far harder and more expensive to maintain... you need both superconductors and cryo

and that's the easy part, relative to keeping an FRC stable for commercially relevant time periods

neutral-beam injection is not free either

direct energy recovery in this scheme is going to be very different because there's no decompression phase

I appreciate Trump's enthusiasm for FRCs, but this is why I say Helion is probably going to win this race before anyone else even gets off the line... assuming they can get it to work
n*kBolt*Te = B**2/(2*mu0) and B^.25 loss scaling? Or not so much? Hopefully we'll know soon...

Skipjack
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by Skipjack »

I like comparing the neutral beam injection with filling a leaky bucket with a firehose while carrying it to the fire.

mvanwink5
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by mvanwink5 »

I thought I would use Grok to do a comparison. I thought it was interesting:

TAE fusion approach now uses only NBI for plasma formation, what use of external magnetic fields does it use if any?

TAE Technologies' current fusion approach, demonstrated in their "Norm" configuration, relies solely on neutral beam injection (NBI) to form and sustain the field-reversed configuration (FRC) plasma. This method involves injecting neutral beams into an initial seed plasma, which traps the beams and builds up fast-ion current to gradually reverse the magnetic field and create the FRC over about 10 milliseconds. The plasma self-organizes, generating its own internal magnetic field that provides primary confinement, which significantly reduces the need for complex external magnet systems compared to traditional fusion designs like tokamaks.However, external magnetic fields are still used in a supportive role:Background field provision: Simple circular coils (such as equilibrium or EQ coils, along with M1 and M2 coils) generate a vacuum axial magnetic field. This field creates an open magnetic mirror configuration for the initial seed plasma (formed via gas injection, plasma guns, and edge biasing electrodes), enabling beam trapping and providing a field to be reversed by the NBI-driven ion current.
Field shaping and fueling: The external coils adjust the magnetic field in regions near the separatrix (the boundary between open and closed field lines) to support ionization, refueling, and optimal beam injection geometry. The field strength must be balanced—strong enough to confine the seed plasma but weak enough to allow reversal (typically achieving a reversal index where the plasma-generated field exceeds the external one).
Confinement and stability: After FRC formation, the external fields help maintain equilibrium, confine the plasma axially (e.g., via mirror plugs), and support edge biasing to control rotation and suppress instabilities like MHD modes.

This streamlined design eliminates previous methods like theta-pinch merging or colliding plasmoids, simplifying the reactor and lowering costs, while the FRC's high-beta (near-unity pressure ratio) and self-confinement minimize external field requirements overall.
Can you compare Helion Energy magnetics to TAE for estimated capital cost of machines?


Magnetics Comparison Both Helion Energy and TAE Technologies utilize a Field-Reversed Configuration (FRC) plasma in their fusion approaches, which inherently relies on the plasma generating its own internal magnetic fields for primary confinement. This reduces the complexity and cost of external magnet systems compared to designs like tokamaks, which require large, precision-engineered superconducting magnets. However, their implementations differ significantly:Helion Energy: Employs a magneto-inertial fusion method that combines magnetic confinement with inertial compression. External magnets form, confine, and accelerate two FRC plasmoids toward each other at high speeds (over 1 million mph), where they merge and are further compressed by a powerful pulsed magnetic field to achieve fusion conditions (>100 million°C). The system operates in pulses (every few seconds), and the expanding fusion plasma pushes back against the external magnetic field, inducing a current for direct electricity recovery via electromagnetic induction (similar to an RLC circuit). This avoids the need for cryogenic superconducting magnets, focusing instead on capacitive discharge for pulsing, which simplifies cooling but requires robust, high-voltage magnet coils capable of handling rapid energy oscillations.


TAE Technologies: Focuses on a beam-driven FRC, where neutral beam injection (NBI) forms and sustains the plasma without relying on pulsed compression. External magnetic fields play a supportive role, primarily provided by simple circular coils (e.g., equilibrium and mirror coils) that create a weak background axial field for initial plasma seeding and stability. The plasma self-organizes, reversing the field and generating its own strong internal magnetic confinement (high-beta regime), which minimizes the need for complex or high-power external magnets. This approach emphasizes stability through beam-driven currents and edge biasing, reducing overall magnet requirements and allowing for a more streamlined, cost-effective design compared to compression-heavy methods.


In summary, Helion's magnetics are more dynamic and interventionist, involving active pulsing and compression for energy gain and recovery, potentially increasing engineering challenges but enabling direct electricity capture. TAE's are more passive, leveraging plasma self-confinement to keep external systems simpler and potentially cheaper to build and operate.


Estimated Capital Cost ComparisonDirect capital cost estimates for fusion machines are sparse and often tied to funding rounds or projections, as both companies are private and focused on prototypes rather than commercial plants. Funding totals provide indirect insights, but specific machine costs are rarely disclosed publicly. Here's a comparison based on available data (note: these are estimates from reports and articles up to late 2025, and actual costs may vary due to inflation, overruns, or technological changes):Aspect
Helion Energy


Polaris (7th-generation prototype, aiming for net electricity by 2026): Approximately $500 million, based on a 2021 funding round dedicated to its construction and subsequent expansions.

Additional $425 million raised in 2025 for scaling.


Copernicus (demonstrator for net energy gain, operational tests started ~2023): Approximately $200 million.

Norman (prior prototype): Costs not specified, but Norm (successor) emphasizes reduced complexity and cost.


TAE's prototypes appear lower-cost due to simpler magnetics and iterative builds; Helion's higher funding may reflect pulsed system's complexity. Total funding: Helion >$1 billion (valuation $5.4B); TAE >$1.3 billion.


Commercial-Scale Plants
No specific capital cost disclosed for post-Polaris commercial generators, but Helion emphasizes modularity (truck-transportable units) and projects electricity costs as low as $0.01/kWh, implying lower capital intensity than traditional power plants.

General industry estimates for utility-scale fusion plants: $2-5 billion per facility.

Projected for Da Vinci (commercial prototype, targeting 2030): Plant overnight capital cost ~$1.5-1.7 billion for a ~400 MW-equivalent facility ($4,300/kW).

General estimates align with $2-5 billion per utility-scale plant.

Both aim for cost-competitiveness with renewables/fission (~$1-5B range for GW-scale). Helion's direct recovery and modularity may enable lower costs; TAE's aneutronic fuel (p-B11) could reduce shielding needs but adds fuel challenges.

Overall, TAE's minimalistic magnetics contribute to lower estimated prototype costs ($200M vs. Helion's $500M), but commercial projections are similar in the low billions. Helion's pulsed approach may offer efficiency advantages for scaling, potentially offsetting higher upfront complexity with lower operational costs. These figures are speculative and based on public disclosures; actual costs could evolve with technological progress.
Counting the days to commercial fusion. It is not that long now.

Skipjack
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by Skipjack »

I seriously doubt that Helion's power plants, once mass produced, will cost that much. Otherwise, they would never reach a reasonable ROI at 1 cent/kWh.

mvanwink5
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by mvanwink5 »

Skipjack wrote:
Wed Dec 24, 2025 8:53 pm
I seriously doubt that Helion's power plants, once mass produced, will cost that much. Otherwise, they would never reach a reasonable ROI at 1 cent/kWh.
Agree! Cost extrapolated from prototypes vs cost of mass manufactured machines are bound to be significantly different in cost.
Counting the days to commercial fusion. It is not that long now.

Skipjack
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by Skipjack »

Also, for Helion a lot of the money went into building the machines that build the machines. They have entire manufacturing lines already (and are expanding).

mvanwink5
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by mvanwink5 »

Skipjack wrote:
Thu Dec 25, 2025 3:54 am
Also, for Helion a lot of the money went into building the machines that build the machines. They have entire manufacturing lines already (and are expanding).
Exactly, plus the commercial facility under construction in Washington for the Microsoft power project. As to the missed 2025 net electric goal, Helion has been exercising caution on their operating ramp. One mistake resulting in hardware damage could set them back due to difficult to replace hardware failure. With the extreme power pulses, care must be taken.

& Merry Christmas to all!
Counting the days to commercial fusion. It is not that long now.

baking
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by baking »

Which machines are we talking about, the self-contained shipping containers producing 50MW at <$60/MWh or the proposed 100,000 square foot Orion Generator Building?

https://imgur.com/a/helions-expanding-f ... rs-raywadu

CharlesKramer
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Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by CharlesKramer »

Skipjack wrote:
Tue Dec 23, 2025 4:46 pm
I like comparing the neutral beam injection with filling a leaky bucket with a firehose while carrying it to the fire.
Isn't neutral beam injection at least as old as the Tokomaks of the 1960s? (in Russia)

And aren't they part of the endlessly recycled thinking in fusion -- an existing machine despite scaling up is still not achieving the heat, density, and confinement time expected, so we'll add one more thing (neutral beams) and then, whoopee!

And here we are, 60 years later. No whoops yet.

I am not remotely a physicist (idiot alert!) but to me they are a sign of failure. What we tried did not work, let's add neutral beams!
================================
Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/charleskramer

CharlesKramer
Posts: 151
Joined: Thu Jan 15, 2009 4:20 pm

Re: Small Tri Alpha news blurp

Post by CharlesKramer »

Skipjack wrote:
Tue Dec 23, 2025 4:46 pm
I like comparing the neutral beam injection with filling a leaky bucket with a firehose while carrying it to the fire.
Isn't neutral beam injection at least as old as the Tokomaks of the 1960s? (in Russia)

And aren't they part of the endlessly recycled thinking in fusion -- an existing machine despite scaling up is still not achieving the heat, density, and confinement time expected, so we'll add one more thing (neutral beams) and then, whoopee!

And here we are, 60 years later. No whoops yet.

I am not remotely a physicist (idiot alert!) but to me they are a sign of failure. What we tried did not work, let's add neutral beams!
================================
Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/charleskramer

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