The Navy is in the position to judge whether polywell is worth pursuing and it is still being pursued. I can't understand how tea leaf reading at this point carries weight. On the other hand, if the project goes completely off screen, that would really be the time to scan tea cup dregs for critical insight.
Still, it passes the time and keeps those who live to argue sated.
Counting the days to commercial fusion. It is not that long now.
We live in the best of all possible worlds. Scary huh?
quantum physics would tell us that we leave in a world that is an instance of a probability distribution, with that instance being chosen according to the probability. Now the law of large numbers tells us that this approaches the statistical expectation as the number of selections grows large - well that's assuming we're talking a normal distribution. there are many distributions that don't "peak" well like that - e.g. power law distributions, etc.
We live in the best of all possible worlds. Scary huh?
quantum physics would tell us that we leave in a world that is an instance of a probability distribution, with that instance being chosen according to the probability. Now the law of large numbers tells us that this approaches the statistical expectation as the number of selections grows large - well that's assuming we're talking a normal distribution. there are many distributions that don't "peak" well like that - e.g. power law distributions, etc.
ok point is your teleology is dead.
Well that is a theory. Evidence is lacking.
Engineering is the art of making what you want from what you can get at a profit.
It would be interesting to find out who's funding the Tibbar tech. Maybe it's emc2? Anyone have any ideas on how to find out? If it's a government contract it should be easy.
eige1123 wrote:It would be interesting to find out who's funding the Tibbar tech. Maybe it's emc2? Anyone have any ideas on how to find out? If it's a government contract it should be easy.
What's their overhead? Do they even *need* funding?
Word has it that Nebel has retired from LANL & EMC2, & Tibbar is a low-budget project (related to POPS) he's running in his spare time. Word also is that EMC2 is still going.
R.Nebel left EMC2, perhaps in part over frustrations over the patent issues, and an assessment that he will receive little financial reward other than salary. He decided to pursue his experience with POPS issues as a potential patentable or markatable technology. He is still a consultant for EMC2 and may be prohibited from discussing anything to do with the Polywell. But, POPS may also be applicable to FRC systems, so he can discuss his research in this area without infringing on his nondisclosure agreements.
This speculation implies that POPS may have a promising future in applications such a FRC as well as Polywell. It is just that he cannot talk about the Polywell. Thus negative implications may be unfounded. Of course, positive implications may also be unfounded.
R.Nebel left EMC2, perhaps in part over frustrations over the patent issues, and an assessment that he will receive little financial reward other than salary. He decided to pursue his experience with POPS issues as a potential patentable or markatable technology. He is still a consultant for EMC2 and may be prohibited from discussing anything to do with the Polywell. But, POPS may also be applicable to FRC systems, so he can discuss his research in this area without infringing on his nondisclosure agreements.
This speculation implies that POPS may have a promising future in applications such a FRC as well as Polywell. It is just that he cannot talk about the Polywell. Thus negative implications may be unfounded. Of course, positive implications may also be unfounded.
Dan Tibbets
i'd generally agree with that.
except that,
This speculation implies that POPS may have a promising future in applications such a FRC as well as Polywell.
, can at best be described as 'speculation on speculation' and at worst a circular argument based on speculation.
[edit]... also, you neglected to mention that the US Navy simply did not need him anymore, which imho, is the best 'speculation' so far[/edit]
