I do agree as stated it will not be a step change. But the market is fickle, and fear creates irrationality. I specifically cited less rational countries as examples for that reason.
I don't think there wil lbe an instant implosion, I do however think there will be some fairly instant reactions, some of which have been hit upon. I do not know there will be time for some to adapt, it depends on how viable viable is. But that said, lessor things have caused major stock swings for major players.
The reason Rickover's Dream never took root across the fleet was cost. Fission plants are stupid expensive, not just to build but also to man and maintain (thanks in part to the irrationalistic tendancies of green leftists). Polywell does not share this as it stands. A Gas Turbine DDG takes four LM-2500s at about $10mil a shot, plus costs of fuel burn at $3 a gallon (for arguments sake) (does not count cost of infrastructure for delivery which is estimated at $100 per barrel in 2007). A destroyer can burn 400,000 gallons in 4 to 5 days if it gets on the pedal, but normally runs a deployed burn rate of say 200K every 10 days-ish. So that is 18 to 20 gas ups for six months of deployed ops, at a cost to the government of $20,000,000 or so. (per DDG). You can see the cost equation would balance fairly quickly, and that my friend is a HUGE topic for big navy these days. In the 90's the navy giggle at the need to install stern flaps on ships as a fuel saving measure ($50K an install, paid for itself within 6 to 9 months of Ops.) Now every ship has it.
The navy can not afford itself, and the navy and everyone else knows it. The large stinky elephant in the room. The navy is going to JUMP at a chance to cut fuel and operating costs as fast as it can. Just look at the money being poured into the green initiatives right now for DOD and DON. When and if Polywell pops, big navy is going to run with it as fast as they can. Right now for sure, I can tell you that big navy has little to no visibility of Polywell. It is a small closely held circle.
Colonel Korg is real or Borg?
Ah, but y'see such conversations come about when someone like me drives the sluggish bandwagon onto a demolition-derby racetrack for a few fun, but scary, laps to see what we can smash off of it!....Colonel_Korg wrote:And to think this whole thread started because someone read a comment on another unrelated site in a topic about the US Navy's desire for the All Electric Ship and Directed Energy Weapons.
If everyone agreed with each other all the time, then we'd still be agreeing which trees to climb up next for the best bananas.
Dear Paul,Colonel_Korg wrote:And to think this whole thread started because someone read a comment on another unrelated site in a topic about the US Navy's desire for the All Electric Ship and Directed Energy Weapons.
thank you very much for your reply! Indeed I didn't know you. I have a google alert active for polywell fusion what was empty yesterday, surprising me because it was Bussard's decease anniversary. I found your comment entering Bussard at google-news.
Immediately after reading it I checked this page but there was nothing new, I didn't find "Colonel Korg" neither in the net.
However, you are indeed the first person to talk about WB-8 running "very promising" even if you do it in an indirect manner. So anybody around here seems to know you, I shamefully didn't, so you are a good Klingon, okay?
I do agree very much with your economical analysis. It will be a stabilizing long term medicine for world's economy. Oil peak is exspected this or the following decade so the "writing on the wall" takes the fear of economic world crash away and replaces it with guarantized growth for the coming decades.
Greetings from Carsten
stone-bronze-iron-carbon-boron