Infrastructure Reforms

Discuss life, the universe, and everything with other members of this site. Get to know your fellow polywell enthusiasts.

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Blankbeard
Posts: 105
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 9:56 pm

Post by Blankbeard »

Stubby wrote: Actually of the 2 GiT is the more rational.
I'll have to take your word on that. Diogenes at least had the shell of an argument. The next time he posts it, there is a ready made comprehensive refutation available for easy linking. I may even shorten and rewrite the thing. It's not going to change his tune, but it'll at least provide watchers something to read. Who knows, maybe I can count it as a community education effort :)
Stubby wrote: digot is so far gone that it is not worth the effort of writing this sentence but it is saturday and I have some free time.

btw GiT love the royal 'we' regarding william. Classic and classy too!
I think that's pure crystallized hubris.
GIThruster wrote: You can ignore william. We all do. If you want to see my arguments against decriminalization of cannabis there are many dozens of posts making my position clear. I am simply not going to go back and do the reading for you.
Look, you're not a forum elder. I'll make up my own mind about people, thank you very much.

And again, I haven't asked you to do any reading. I've asked you for a link or search terms to find these legendary arguments of yours. I even tried simply looking through your posts but I soon figured out that was like searching a sewer for corn: Even if you find what you're looking for, you're not likely to be satisfied with what you end up with and the amount of crap you have to sift through is way too high.

Until you present your evidence by link or post and stop relying on personal attacks, we don't have anything to discuss on this subject. This may or may not concern you, but if it doesn't I have to ask why you keep complaining to me.
GIThruster wrote: The reason you're pretending my arguments are all ad hominem is you haven't bothered to read or respond to the arguments. You're pretending the data doesn't exist by avoiding it altogether. You're treating the two primary observations I've made about cannabis causing psychosis and about how the raw numbers of users are affected by legalization as if these arguments don't exist. It appears you believe you've won a debate by default, but it's not that the other side didn't show up. It's that you're too lazy to read and respond to the arguments.
Your arguments are personal attacks. You haven't presented any evidence for me to evaluate. What are the two primary observations you've made? What evidence supports them? Winning is irrelevant, supporting arguments is what's important.

And if you wish to characterize me as lazy, go for it. That says more about you than it does me. I've spent the last few days researching counterarguments to ladajo's apparently honest but inadequately supported argument and Diogenes' apparently dishonest and unsupported argument. You've complained and refused to copy and paste a link to evidence you refuse to provide. I'm perfectly happy to let the reader decide who's lazy and who's honestly engaging arguments. Your opinion is yours and you speak only for yourself.

93143
Posts: 1142
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 7:51 pm

Post by 93143 »

Blankbeard wrote:I'm not refering to The Exponential Function but rather what are generally known as exponential functions which are indeed as I described, one that grows exponentially. http://oregonstate.edu/instruct/mth251/ ... esson.html
I noted the general case myself - but you used the example y = x^2, which is quadratic, not exponential.

I'm not trying to get involved in the actual argument. I'm just poking it from the side...

Blankbeard
Posts: 105
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 9:56 pm

Post by Blankbeard »

93143 wrote:
Blankbeard wrote:I'm not refering to The Exponential Function but rather what are generally known as exponential functions which are indeed as I described, one that grows exponentially. http://oregonstate.edu/instruct/mth251/ ... esson.html
I noted the general case myself - but you used the example y = x^2, which is quadratic, not exponential.

I'm not trying to get involved in the actual argument. I'm just poking it from the side...
No, I understand what you're getting at. It's a side issue and I"m not a mathmatician. I did really well in Calc I but that was 2003 and my googling is proving to be ambiguous.

I'm going to separate out the actual argument from all of response to side issues/racism so as to avoid distraction and anyone dodging the argument on the issue of function naming.

Thanks again for the help!

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

williatw wrote:
Diogenes wrote:
williatw wrote:
Actually GIThruster 42% of adults in the United States will try cannabis in a lifetime: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adult_life ... 2008july-2

So exactly what is 9X 42%?

Why do you keep using Pot as a proxy for Meth, Crack, Opium, Cocaine, Heroine, etc? The Libertarian argument does not stop at Pot, it covers the entire gamut of drugs. Stop minimizing the danger by picking the least offensive among the bunch. Argue reality.
I didn't pick it GIThruster did, I merely responded to what he said so, what is 9X 42%? And as I have said I would treat the harder drugs and their addiction as the medical problems they are, with treatment, preventative education, regulation.

So you still want to spend government money on it, you just want to spend it somewhere else?

Hard drugs become a medical problem because people tried them and became addicted. If they were not available, this would not have happened.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote:
williatw wrote:
Actually GIThruster 42% of adults in the United States will try cannabis in a lifetime: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adult_life ... 2008july-2

So exactly what is 9X 42%?

Why do you keep using Pot as a proxy for Meth, Crack, Opium, Cocaine, Heroine, etc? The Libertarian argument does not stop at Pot, it covers the entire gamut of drugs. Stop minimizing the danger by picking the least offensive among the bunch. Argue reality.
Why are you using pot as a proxy for the rest of reality? The Statist argument doesn't stop at Pot, it encompasses control over what you say, buy and every conceivable action. Stop minimizing the danger by picking the least offensive among the bunch. Argue reality.



See, now here is where you are trying to burn your strawman ventriloquist dummy. You ALLEGE that we are statists because we regard drugs as a DIRE THREAT to the lives of Innocent people, while you, seeing no threat whatsoever, think we are Nazi Totalitarians who just want to ruin your fun because we get off on it.


One of us has the more mature and realistic perspective, and I would argue, based on (among other things) the massive pile of dead bodies on your side of the argument, it is us.

Blankbeard wrote: That's the problem with Statists. When you come right down to it, there isn't anything they think you can control better than they can. That's why Republicans talk limited government and freedom but they expand its power almost as fast as the Democrats. They see so many people who are wrong and they just can't help themselves. No matter how many times it's shown that people manage their own lives better than government.

Protecting the public from drug addicts is a normal function of any government. It is no more "statist" than arresting murderers or rapists. People such as yourself don't want to hear it because you live in a fantasy world of belief that drugs don't hurt anyone.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

Blankbeard wrote:Hate to serial post but here are a couple of interesting articles on the Prohibition. This first one is somewhat pro- or at least in the "Prohibition wasn't as bad as you've heard and more effective" mode

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1470475/

This one is interesting. You see, there isn't actually much data on alcohol consumption during Prohibition. So most of the numbers you see are actually estimates of unknown accuracy and apparently no one who studies this subject has ever heard the term "error bar." What this paper does is lay out its methodology and allow you to follow along.

Their results probably won't surprise our resident drug warriors but they match up well with what data there is both during and after Prohibition.

Edit Oops. Forgot the second link. http://www.nber.org/papers/w3675.pdf?new_window=1

Given your looking up stuff like this to post, and given that you only joined this website in November, and given that 20 out of 30 of your posts so far are regarding drug legalization or some variant thereof, I suspect MSimon dug you up on one of his Libertarian websites somewhere and sent you here to be a soldier for the religion.

Normal people just don't follow the drug crap. I only got into it because I got so sick and tired of hearing that drug laws are the cause of everything wrong in the nation.

It doesn't matter. This Drug legalization idea is just another weed meme which will get burned up when the coming fire sweeps the prairie.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

GIThruster
Posts: 4686
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 8:17 pm

Post by GIThruster »

It's funny but everyone I know has "libertarian leanings". Everyone I've ever met wants to be a champion of liberty and liberality, so long as they don't have to take the full jump into Libertarianism. It's only when you take the need for liberty and treat it as an unqualified absolute that you're suddenly off in the boonies with these crazy arguments in support of drugs, prostitution, sex with animals. Libertarians make these insane arguments as matter of course because they lack the common sense ability to look at the world around them and see how excesses in anything, including liberty; make a mockery of us all.

As philosopher I've had more than my fair share of opportunities over the years to discuss with Libertarians and I have yet to find one with enough common sense to fill a thimble. Very often you'll find as with Simon, they have a pet issue that led them into Libertarianism. Simon loves drugs and it irks him he quit school, lost his job and has been a parasite on society ever since, all because of the drugs--so he blames all the troubles on prohibition instead of his drug use and naturally Libertarianism is the staunch defender of all gross excess.

Some people come at it the other way around. I've only seen it in the very young and I think it burns itself out, almost as if common sense catches up with adolescent Libertarians when they get into their late twenties and start to emerge into adulthood. I think this is where BlankBeard is at for sure he's not an adult yet. No adult is so arrogant, pompous and presumptuous. It's part of growing into adulthood to grow out of these terrible parts of our youth.

So in a sense, there is still hope BlankBeard will learn and grow out of his self-destructive ways. One can only hope.
"Courage is not just a virtue, but the form of every virtue at the testing point." C. S. Lewis

Blankbeard
Posts: 105
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 9:56 pm

Post by Blankbeard »

Diogenes wrote: See, now here is where you are trying to burn your strawman ventriloquist dummy. You ALLEGE that we are statists because we regard drugs as a DIRE THREAT to the lives of Innocent people, while you, seeing no threat whatsoever, think we are Nazi Totalitarians who just want to ruin your fun because we get off on it.
I refer to you as a statist because you hold statist positions. I have not accused you of being either a Nazi or a totalitarian. You are advocating for state control of drug use. That is a statist position. Given your posts in other threads, I conclude that you broadly support state enforcement of what might be termed "Traditional morals" either directly or indirectly.

If you take offense at that, let me ask, where's your dividing line? Illicit drugs kill about 17,000 people and you think they're ban worthy. Legal drugs kill about the same. Ban or no ban? Alcohol kills 24,000 ban or no ban? Tobacco, close to half a million. Ban or no ban? Sugar is probably the leading cause of death in the United states, being a major factor in heart disease, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertension. Ban or no ban? Can you defend each of these decisions? Motor vehicles kill twice as many as illicit drugs. Ban or no ban?

The point isn't your response. The point is that you can't claim to point to a "pile of bodies" and then ignore the much larger piles our everyday life generates, many of them just as socially useless as any illicit drug.

Let's take a close look at carbohydrates. They are physiologically and psychologically addictive. Humans are perfectly capable of living with no simple carbohydrates and low amounts of complex carbohydrates. Carbohydrates are implicated in insulin resistance, which is at the root of type II diabetes. This is one of the strongest links in modern medicine. But it doesn't stop there. Carbohydrates are thought to influence the course and development of psychosis. Some children can tolerate only very limited amounts of carbohydrates without the development of chronic disease. Carbohydrate consumption is linked to high cancer rates and "tooth rot" a condition similar to meth mouth. In short, virtually any bad thing you can say about illicit drugs, you can say about carbohydrate consumption except that carbohydrates have a body count each year that exceeds that of illicit drugs since the 1980's.

So, want to give me your reasons that carbohydrates shouldn't be regulated as tightly as marijuana, a comparatively harmless drug? Why don't you care about the poor dead addicts?

Life is harmful, risky, and potentially deadly. Once you've decided you have the authority to protect people from their own consentual decisions, you've crossed the line. Any line you draw after than is arbitrary.
Diogenes wrote: One of us has the more mature and realistic perspective, and I would argue, based on (among other things) the massive pile of dead bodies on your side of the argument, it is us.
I'm happy to leave issues of realism and maturity to the reader. I think I will fare the better in comparison.
Diogenes wrote: Protecting the public from drug addicts is a normal function of any government. It is no more "statist" than arresting murderers or rapists. People such as yourself don't want to hear it because you live in a fantasy world of belief that drugs don't hurt anyone.
Murderers and rapists coerce others. Drug users do not inherently. Driving while intoxicated is the same crime whether you're on alcohol or prescription drugs. Robbery is the same crime whether you do it to support a drug habit or to afford a car.

Again, I've never claimed drugs don't hurt anyone. You have to deal with the arguments I make, not the arguments you wish I would make.
Diogenes wrote: Given your looking up stuff like this to post, and given that you only joined this website in November, and given that 20 out of 30 of your posts so far are regarding drug legalization or some variant thereof, I suspect MSimon dug you up on one of his Libertarian websites somewhere and sent you here to be a soldier for the religion.

Normal people just don't follow the drug crap. I only got into it because I got so sick and tired of hearing that drug laws are the cause of everything wrong in the nation.

It doesn't matter. This Drug legalization idea is just another weed meme which will get burned up when the coming fire sweeps the prairie.
Ah, the coming fire. Ever hopeful of a vindication that never quite comes. I have no connection with MSimon but congratulations for being able to dig up the information I placed in my very first post. Since the rest is data free, I'm going to ignore it. Nice use of personal attacks though.
GIThruster wrote: Libertarians make these insane arguments as matter of course because they lack the common sense ability to look at the world around them and see how excesses in anything, including liberty; make a mockery of us all.
There is no such libertarian argument. The libertarian argument is that individual lives are best managed by the individual. Government should provide the rule of law and a few basic services that cannot reasonably be provided in any other way. Attempting to manage individual lives centrally produces waste, misery, and death on a level far beyond that of individuals managing themselves.

In short, you are simply not competent to run anyone else's life. You have your hands full with your own.
GIThruster wrote: As philosopher I've had more than my fair share of opportunities over the years to discuss with Libertarians and I have yet to find one with enough common sense to fill a thimble. Very often you'll find as with Simon, they have a pet issue that led them into Libertarianism. Simon loves drugs and it irks him he quit school, lost his job and has been a parasite on society ever since, all because of the drugs--so he blames all the troubles on prohibition instead of his drug use and naturally Libertarianism is the staunch defender of all gross excess.
I am unconvinced that you possess any training in any field or any particular ability to judge others. And MSimon is not participating in this thread. It is craven and low to make personal attacks against him, whatever his problems may be.
GIThruster wrote: Some people come at it the other way around. I've only seen it in the very young and I think it burns itself out, almost as if common sense catches up with adolescent Libertarians when they get into their late twenties and start to emerge into adulthood. I think this is where BlankBeard is at for sure he's not an adult yet. No adult is so arrogant, pompous and presumptuous. It's part of growing into adulthood to grow out of these terrible parts of our youth.

So in a sense, there is still hope BlankBeard will learn and grow out of his self-destructive ways. One can only hope.
And you were doing so well in the other thread. As with Diogenes, I am happy to let the reader decide who is arrogant and pompous. I've claimed no authority. I've supported my arguments with evidence. You've claimed false authority, attempted to dictate the opinions of others, and generally acted in a rude and childish manner. The presumption has been yours from the start.

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Yes, the mathematics describing exponential acceleration of gravity are completely different from the mathematics which describe the exponential acceleration of a disease.
Most diseases don't undergo unlimited exponential growth. They undergo logarithmic growth. That's biology 101 material. You. Should. Know. This.

Edit: I have used the underlined word incorrectly. The correct statement is that "They grow in a fashion consistent with their characteristics and usually cannot be accurately described with a simple function."


At least I got a concession out of you that they grow, which is in fact, the only salient point. If left alone, Drug usage grows.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: And with your methodology, were we to discuss glass, we would have to find out the exact silica content in it before we could determine that it was transparent.
No, we just wouldn't treat glass, plastic, air, and water as if they were the same thing simply because all can be transparent.

When the only relevant characteristic is transparency, a forced focus on the details is just a dodge. If left alone, Diseases grow. The exact curve describing that growth in detail is irrelevant in the extreme, and that is precisely why you wanted to focus on it.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: You must REALLY, REALLY, REALLY be afraid of my argument to run so hard and fast away from it. It's like "Blankbeard bane" or something.
So fine, you aren't going to address the point. I guess we can just snipe at each other than.
I'd addressed what little of an argument you've made. You cannot simply generalize about all diseases, particularly between broad classes like communicable diseases and mental/social "diseases" like addiction. You can't even generalize between different drugs. Do you think, just to give you an example, that withdrawal from Alcohol, Oxycotin, and Marijuana are the same? Would you treat them the same way? Would you give a benzo to all three to combat symptoms? Because with two of those three, you're getting nothing done while the patient is in withdrawal. Which one is fatal if unattended? Which one is the most disconcerting to the patient? Hint: The last two questions do not have the same answer.


And not a lick of this addresses the only point that matters in this discussion. If left alone, Percentage of people addicted to drugs increases over time.

Blankbeard wrote: (The pharmacologically astute will notice that we treat withdrawal from one addictive drug by giving the patient another addictive drug.)

Look, I understand that you're almost certainly not involved in a field where you have to see any of this. And you're probably a generally law-abiding person (having not read Three Felonies A Day :) ) so you've never had to live with the effects. You're not a doctor who risks going to jail if the DEA thinks he's been too easy with pain control medication. I seriously hope you never have to deal with back pain or another chronic pain because more than likely your doctor will have issues effectively treating you. Every time the DEA revises its guidelines it's a bit harder for doctors. Since not having a DEA license is the same as not having a job, it's best not to complain too loudly. Pain management clinics take the load but the rules are no easier for them. It's just the appearance of a new specialist to handle the regulations around pain medications.

Yup, drug addicts are screwing it up for everybody else. Another example of how it's not a victimless crime. Still irrelevant to the point though.




Blankbeard wrote:

Regardless of what you think, I'm not sniping at you. I'm bringing up basic methodological problems with your argument. You are arguing from a position of ignorance (no judgement intended) and assuming that there's nothing more to a situation than what you know about.

I would be surprised if you had more intimate and personal knowledge than do I, about the consequences of drug addiction as seen up close. As for methodological problems, you are trying to make the very simple, overtly complex. One does not need to know an exact solution (to the rate of disease or drug usage growth) as long as it is possible to determine that it lies within a range, which is for all intents and purposes, above zero.

Blankbeard wrote:
But let me extend an olive branch. You say I'm missing the point. I'll play the inadequate student and ask what is the point I'm missing. Put your cards on the table and we'll go from there.

This is simple. As with many phenomenon in nature, unencumbered drug usage exhibits logistic growth. (doesn't matter what the curve is.) If you want to make it even simpler, you have to argue that the growth of unencumbered usage is flat. Very similar to arguing that anti-gravity exists IMO.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: It's funny that you think this is about epidemiology. And here I thought you might actually be perceptive or something.
In the spirit of clear communication what is this about?

It is about demonstrating that exponential growth is the norm in many areas of science, and it is the correct principle to apply to drug usage and addiction. If the norm for drug addiction is to grow, (in the absence of interference) then the fact that it has not grown for >100 years (still at 2%) indicates that the methods being used to halt it's growth are indeed effectively halting it's growth.

i.e. "the drug war" is having a successful effect. (Might be another approach would work better, but that isn't the point.)








Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Let me clue you in on something champ. All those boundaries you see between disciplines in science? Those are all illusions created by our desire to see a boundary. In fact, there are no boundaries between Chemistry\Physics\Biology. It is merely a human artifice that we regard them as having boundaries.
True but irrelevant. You could describe any problem using only the language of physics but for any non-trivial problem this description would take most of a human lifetime. For almost any real problem, it would take longer than the lifetime of human civilization to do so. If you'd like to show me the peer-reviewed studies that you've done a few tens of thousands of years of work creating a description of drug addiction that would almost certainly be longer than the combined literary output of the rest of mankind in all of history (and almost certainly, the rest of history) then by all means, give me a link. Otherwise, you just come off as another crackpot.

That's actually the effect I was going for. As for the physics explanation of all other phenomena, one does not have to explain each discipline in accordance with the molecular theory of heat, one describes basic characteristics and then assign them to a class, and assign those classes to another iteration of a higher class, and thereby creates a series of class trees at which the bulk of information can be manipulated at the higher level without the need for getting mucked up with the details, as you attempted to do with your need for specificity in insisting on some particular disease.

All diseases follow the same general rule, and the only point that mattered was that they were in the category that followed that rule. (The category of "logistic growth.")

Blankbeard wrote: We have different sciences to break reality down into manageable pieces. Holistic views are nice but above your paygrade. When a physicist manages to produce workable models for epidemiology, it won't be some forum guy who introduces it to the world.

I wouldn't presume to predict that one way or the other.





Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Now you just can't comprehend the concept of logistic growth, and I dare say it won't matter how I present it to you, because you just don't want to concede that logistic growth is the determining factor in the spread of drug addiction because that would utterly screw your argument. What you are suffering from is "cognitive dissonance" because what you have is a religion and not a set of beliefs based on reason.
The small text is at least partially wrong and perhaps completely wrong. Rather than confuse the issue please skip to the bolded text below for the correct argument.

Dude, you've been posting graphs showing exponential growth, not logistic. Exponential growth produces a graph where as x goes from 0 to some point lower than infinity, y approaches infinity. Functions that do this are called exponential functions and the simplest one is y=x^2. Exponential functions approach infinity more quickly than any other type. In laymen's terms, exponential growth makes a graph with a simple curve that quickly straight up.

Logarithmic, or if you prefer logistic, growth looks completely different. They start off similarly and for a while it may even grow faster than exponential, but the line levels off and heads straight right. Technically, logarithmic growth produces a curve that approaches its finite limit asymptotically. The simplest of these are the functions of type y=log(x) where the logarithm may be in any base, commonly base 10 or the natural logarithm.


Edit: Thanks to 93143 for pointing out that the above paragraph is wrong. Rather than continuing to torture my decade old calculus, let me get to the heart of the issue:

Diseases don't grow that way. Sometimes their behavior can be approximated by different functions but each disease follows its own rules based on its characteristics and environment.

I'll assume this is a simple mistake on your part. Also, a simple mistake on my part.


I don't see it as any kind of mistake on my part. The Characteristic of disease that is salient to the point is that their infection spreads. Were it not spreading, it is doubtful that a disease would even come to our attention.

I'll re-iterate the point. For the sake of this discussion, the rate of growth doesn't matter, the only thing that matters is that it not be zero. Any growth rate above zero will eventually become significant, the time required for this is not really relevant to the point.

As populations live beyond the span of individuals, individual times scales don't apply to them.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: No law against that, but to those of us who don't share your religion, your arguments don't make any sense because they violate obvious and easy to understand principles. Now you can try to dress it up any way you like, but at the end of the day, we heretics are not going to buy your faith based arguments.
This is craven slander and you know it. I've posted evidence for all of my statements. Are you another clown like GIThruster? I rather believe you aren't. Do better.

I would like to think I am as much of a clown as he, if that is how you want to characterize it. I find his arguments for the most part to be reasonable, usually well thought out, and consistent with my experience.

Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Oh, I don't know, you are making a pretty good case that you are an expert on not knowing something.
Look, I'm as guilty of indulging in the occasional ad hominem attack as the next guy but you really can't base an argument on them. Do better.

Dude, sniping is for fun. Anybody who really gets offended at crap people say at them on the internet is simply taking it too seriously.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Very pretty. And of course Opium is such a fad that it lasted over a hundred years. Katy Perry should be so lucky.
If the US government enforced sales of her records, she wouldn't need luck.

You seem to be mistaking a lack of interference for explicit intervention. I have no knowledge of China's government sticking pipes into people's mouths. Even if they did such a thing, it would never work unless the substance was addictive.


Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Yeah, you must have missed that documentary on PBS which explained all the efforts leading up to that Act. (I think this is the one.)Apparently they found out that the drug cartels were getting their pseudo-ephedrine from a certain factory in India. They (the feds) went over there and had a little chat with the Factory and ouila, suddenly the supply of cheap meth took a big nose dive.

But please, do go on about your theory.
I wonder if you mean this 2009 bust in India?
http://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-north ... regon.html


I see no dates on your link but it doesn't actually matter. How does this change what I said? The Combat Methamphetamine Act of 2005 was claimed as the reason that meth usage dropped. In 2003. If a different effort reduced meth supply, that still doesn't make that claim true.

I think you've got me on the detail, but I don't live and breath this stuff everyday, so I can ask forgiveness if I get some details wrong. It has been a long time since I watched that documentary, but one of the main points being made in that documentary was that every time they restricted the supply of pseudo ephedrine (or variations thereof) they showed a quick and dramatic decline in the availability of street meth.

Now either they were lying, or the tactic was working.



Blankbeard wrote:
Further the Combat Meth act addresses pharmacy sales of small amounts of precursor chemicals, not overseas factories. So your link is irrelevant to the act. I am familiar with this act because I'm the one required to keep records of what customers buy, to cut them off when they reach their daily and monthly limits, and its the records that I use that are used to arrest people like this guy:

http://reason.com/blog/2006/12/24/man-a ... -allergies

And here you go. This is education for pharmacists. Take a look at the items they want us to watch for and notify the DEA if your purchases are suspicious. And what's suspicious? I hope the pharmacist who's filling in for yours the day you bring table salt, coffee filters, and 2 liter sodas to the counter isn't the paranoid type. No-knock raids are nothing I'd wish on anyone.

http://pharmacistsletter.therapeuticres ... eSupport=1

Meanwhile, meth usage was back to previous levels by 2006 and has bounced around every since.

http://www.samhsa.gov/data/nsduh/2k10ns ... esults.htm

http://carnevaleassociates.com/meth_2011

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar ... 2279#f0010

Does this look like clear success for interdiction?

It certainly looked like it in the documentary. They explain the price going up and down with their interdiction efforts. When they would show some success, the dealers would shift tactics in an effort to restore the supply. Tracking the various spy v spy efforts between the two groups is not something that I feel strongly about doing personally. I am content to accept the variation of which you speak as having been the results of these maneuverings by both sides.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Which as far as I can tell means the exact same thing. It is also as sensible as saying that our current murder policy is not depressing the number of murderers. Errant nonsense that is in complete conflict with deterrence, the theory upon which the entire Legal system is based.

Again, how can anyone take this claim seriously?
1) There would be more murders if murder were legal.
2) There would be the same number of murders if murders were legal.
3) There is no evidence that there would be more murders if murder were legal.

Not the same. Three separate claims. In fact, 3 could be a true claim even if 1 or 2 turned out to be factually correct or even if they both turned out to be wrong.

There is plenty of historical evidence that there would be more murders if Murder were legal. One only need look at the Legal murders performed by Stalin, Hitler, Mao, Pol Pot, Castro, etc. to conclude that legal murder does indeed increase the likelihood of it's occurrence.

It is unfathomable to me that legalization of anything would result in less of it. Do you have any examples where legalization of a behavior resulted in less of it?







Blankbeard wrote:

1) There would be more drug users if drug use was legal.
2) There would be the same numbers of drug users if drug use was legal.
3) There is no evidence that there would be more drug use if drugs were legal.
3 separate claims, of which 3 is the one I've made. Not hard to understand.

Do I need to post that Chart regarding Opium Imports again? Your argument begs the question, if usage isn't going to change upward, then why bother legalizing it?






Blankbeard wrote:

Diogenes wrote: The proxy evidence of exponentially increasing shipments of drugs into a nation is not sufficient to imply usage? What on earth kind of evidence do you need to prove it?


It would be nice to have that happen in a situation that at least vaguely resembles the situation in the united states.



You mean a land mass with Homo Sapiens running around on it? Yeah, that factor is pretty much replicated exactly. No other characteristics are pertinent.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote:
That is one possible explanation. Another is that Libertarians are unknowingly colluding with Socialists to torture statistics to scream out what they want to hear. As Frederick Hayek put it:
That's not an explanation, that's a social conservative indulging in conspiracy theory so he can avoid admitting the evidence doesn't support him.
Less of a conspiracy theory and more of a case of "intellectual phase lock" otherwise known as "herd mentality."



Blankbeard wrote:
Please provide evidence that libertarians are running the show in any of the named countries.

Good heavens! Who suggested that they were? I am suggesting that the Socialist government of Portugal, being incompetent in everything, tried a new governmental policy, and then declared it a success! Libertarians, seeing a policy that they liked better than others, and seeing a government that declared it successful, immediately amplified the claims by copying them and repeating them ad nauseum through every media outlet of which they had influence.


This is why I said Libertarians are unknowingly colluding with socialists.


Blankbeard wrote: Heck, show they're even an important political force in any of those countries. Double heck, find me one country run by libertarians. I'll move there and leave you to turn this country into the United States of Jail.

Ha ha ha... Yeah, if we don't let everyone do drugs, we're tyrants! Don't know of a country run by Libertarians, (even in History, nothing comes to mind. That ought to tell you something.) but I do know of a city that was founded and ran by Secular Libertarians. Turned out to be a complete and total failure. Rather funny in fact.

Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: “Everything which might cause doubt about the wisdom of the government or create discontent will be kept from the people. The basis of unfavorable comparisons with elsewhere, the knowledge of possible alternatives to the course actually taken, information which might suggest failure on the part of the government to live up to its promises or to take advantage of opportunities to improve conditions--all will be suppressed. There is consequently no field where the systematic control of information will not be practiced and uniformity of views not enforced.”[/b][/i]

― Friedrich A. von Hayek, The Road to Serfdom
Ooh, quoting Hayek as if he were an authoritarian! Trollish goodness. Description is not Prescription, Diogenes.

I would think his point is self evident. Immoral governments have no compunction about lying to the people when it suits them. Why, is quoting Hayek only good when Simon does it?




Blankbeard wrote:
Triple troll score for trying to tie libertarians to socialists. You just ad hom'ed millions. As I mentioned to GIThruster, the next step is ad hom'ing Jews.

We are having a communications problem here, It is the Socialist Government of Portugal whom I am accusing of Lying. I'm merely accusing the Libertarians of being naive dupes.



Blankbeard wrote:
(Why did a social conservative take the name of a greek philosopher known for flouting tradition and pissing off conservatives? I hope it's not simple irony.)

No, it was well thought out and intentional. Diogenes couldn't abide fools, and would skewer them at every available opportunity. He and I are a sort of kindred spirit in some respects. I have never been comfortable with the notion that those in power should automatically engender respect from me. They have to earn it by being sensible.

When someone is right, I say so. When they are wrong, I also say so. Outspoken and curmudgeonly, that's me. As for flouting tradition, something does not garner respect merely because it's a tradition. It should garner respect if it serves some worthy purpose.






Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: But that is not just supposition. Here is a study which indicates that this is indeed what is happening in the case of Portugal.

Ouch! I bet you didn't expect that!
Did you read that study? Or just see it was critical of the Cato foundation and assume it supported you?

Here's their conclusion
The promulgation and uptake of different accounts of the Portuguese reform is a clear indicator of the interest in it. Considered analysis of the two most divergent accounts reveals that the Portuguese reform warrants neither the praise nor the condemnation of being a ‘resounding success’ or a ‘disastrous failure’, and that these divergent policy conclusions were derived from selective use of the evidence base that belie the nuanced, albeit largely positive, implications from this reform.
It supports my point that Portugal is being held up as a wonderful miracle by all the people who want to legalize anyway, and in fact what Portugal has done is not a success story. It is more along the lines of "to be determined."




Blankbeard wrote: Given their potential for use in promoting or blocking drug law reform in Portugal and elsewhere, the selective uses of data and divergent conclusions are perhaps to be expected. Yet, while we found evidence that the misinterpretation of evidence may garner national or international support and contribute to the uptake of misconceptions and erroneous accounts (that may align with core beliefs), we contend that particularly for proponents of reform, that is, those challenging the status quo, deliberate misinterpretation of evidence is a high-risk game. The dissemination of incredibly certain [6] and overly positive accounts provides easy grounds for discrediting reforms, ignoring the lessons that they provide and shifting public debate in directions that may prove detrimental to future proponents.

More broadly, the dissemination of loose accounts poses serious risks of devaluing the case for evidence-based drug policy [7]. Indeed, the divergent accounts of the Portuguese reform provide ample grounds for questioning the implicit assumption that evidence will generate policies ‘devoid of dogma’[7]. At a time when many countries in the developed world have shifted electorally to the right, there may be a temptation to throw evidence-based drug policy out, under the pretext that science proves nothing at all. Careful communication of claims is thus critical for both academics and advocates, so that evidence-informed accounts are more than mere ammunition for the policy battlefield.

Yup, bad claims damage scientific credibility.


Blankbeard wrote: And here's a bit about the effects of the reform on the drug rate:
The question is: how meaningful is this information for determining the effects of the reform? Portugal has historically had very low prevalence of drug use and was one of the last European nations to experience significant increases in heroin use. During the 1990s it had very high prevalence of all the indicators referred to by Pinto (excepting homicides). It is only by taking into account rates pre-reform—or more preferably trends pre- and post-reform—that we can examine the extent to which Portugal's current drug situation, relative to the rest of Europe, can be attributed to the reform.

Our article examined trends in Portugal relative to Spain and Italy (chosen for their similarity in geography and drug situation) and concluded that post-reform Portugal is similar or performing better for most indicators. In relation to drug use we identified that between 2001 and 2007 there were similar increases in all three nations for lifetime and recent drug use for cannabis and cocaine [8]. For school students, lifetime prevalence (using ESPAD data) increased in all three nations from 1999 to 2003 before a drop in 2007, with the major difference being that in Portugal, the drop in reported use of any illicit substance appeared more pronounced and the decline in reported cannabis use appeared less pronounced. Significantly, Portugal was the only nation to exhibit declines in problematic drug use.

Regarding drug-related deaths, Portugal, Spain and Italy had different trends, reflecting the different stages of the heroin epidemic, but ‘it is clear that since the Portuguese introduction of its drug strategy and the decriminalization, all three nations showed declines in drug-related deaths, but that the declines were more pronounced in Portugal and Italy than in Spain’[8]. The main point of difference was that Portugal alone showed an increase in drug-related mortality in 2007 and 2008; however, as illustrated earlier this was attributed to the increase in toxicological autopsies. The more recently available INE evidence largely supports this attribution. Broader examination of the EMCDDA reports and data supports our earlier conclusion that post-reform Portugal is performing—longitudinally—similarly or slightly better than most European countries.
Bold print is mine. So both the "resounding success" and the "complete disaster" were overblown. No surprise there. Politics is the home of the overblown, exaggerations, and panics over nothing. But what they found was consistent with my position.
But guess which false claim got the most press, and thanks to whom?


Blankbeard wrote:
Noticeably, the drug use apocalypse you warn against didn't happen.
To early to tell. It only took China 100+ years to show the horrendously bad results.

Blankbeard wrote: So again, this suggests you are wrong. Legalization will probably not increase the usage of drugs.
I find it hard to believe you can keep a straight face when you say such things as this. When has legalization ever resulted in a reduction of some sort of behavior?




Blankbeard wrote: Legalization advocates who claim that legalization would lower drug rates were also wrong. Yay! Moderation and science win the day!

Lesson: Make sure you read and comprehend your sources.

Well, I knew legalization advocates are wrong. I've seen the front lines first hand. I know how the stuff gets spread.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Oh God! If I ever hear "This won't happen to us because our culture is COMPLETELY different from the Chinese!" again, I think i'm going to puke. Physiological characteristics are for all intents and purposes, exactly the same between Americans and the Chinese. That which will addict them, will also addict us.

This argument that Cultural differences will shield us from poison is just another dodge for someone who doesn't want to accept what is true.
The British Empire isn't trying to force opium on us.
The British forced it into the Country, they didn't force it into peoples mouths. It wound up there on it's own as a result of being available.


Blankbeard wrote: Occupation by drug pushers is not a cultural difference. It's a difference in reality. Goebbels said if you keep repeating a big lie, people believe it. He didn't say it becomes true.
And you think that if drugs were legalized that we wouldn't have pushers? We have pushers for Coca-Cola for crying out loud! I see Pharmaceutical companies hawking their wares on Television nearly every day. Don't worry about pushers, they come with the product.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Especially not hung over like that. For strung out addicts, odds of 8-1 just aren't good enough.


Image
Inaccuracy and racism, all in one convenient image. How efficient of you.

You must not have much experience with Japanese Culture. That pic is a big fat nothing given what passes for Japanese image art. In any case, it was meant as a compliment. A Testament to the ferocity of a people that can whip their weight in Chinese at an 8-1 ratio.

Blankbeard wrote:

(Shout out to Babylon 5 for that adapted quote.)

Loved Babylon 5. Best and most serious Sci-Fi series i've ever seen. (apart from all the nonsense stuff, that is.)



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: And now I think YOU are smoking crack. Force? Persuade? What's the difference when it comes down to the end result? Hell, if we could sell drugs to Iran, *I* would chip in a few thousand to send them there. And I get a return on my money? H3ll YEAH!!!!!
A guy who persuades you to have sex with him is your lover. A guy who forces you to have sex with him is a rapist. You are well aware of the difference. Do not beclown yourself. Iran actually has quite strict laws against drugs and a rather high rate of use and abuse.
The point remains, that drug usage by the people of Iran will do serious damage to them. If I could get the Government of Iran to smoke crack, I would certainly do it. Drugs will destroy any society that embraces them.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Intuitive leap based on a pile of knowledge and experience the likes of which I've yet to see matched let alone surpassed. (although I suspect djolds1 and perhaps DeltaV)
Well, you are certainly a legend in your own mind.

Part of the problem is trying to live in an environment where people will not stop telling you that your the smartest person they've ever met. (They have low standards I think.)


Blankbeard wrote: Telling me how smart you are will not make up for unsupported arguments. If anything, I've found those who label themselves smart will talk themselves into the most idiotic ideas because they're good at convincing themselves of things based on little evidence. I'm certain you're capable of better.

You drug it out of me. Besides, I wanted to see how you would respond to such a boast. I like to play my little mind games now and then.


Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: By all means, try to understand the role played by the British East India Company. Especially their, you know, SHIPPING RECORDS!!!!!!!
Yes, we're back to that force/persuade. A man with a knife to your throat is not persuading you to give him a donation. He is robbing you. I don't know of a single world view that doesn't recognize that. Surely you have enough moral sense and rational ability to agree with that.

And here we go with this argument again. It is the CHINESE GOVERNMENT which was forced, and what they were forced to do is EXACTLY WHAT YOU WANT. They were forced to legalize Drugs.

You guys are funny. You carp about it not being legal, then you complain that some government was forced to make it legal!! (As if it has any bearing on the discussion anyway.) Individual Chinese subjects were not forced to smoke dope. They CHOSE to do that.

How you see an argument that favors your side in this point, I do not understand.




Blankbeard wrote:

Likewise, the East India Company forced opium upon China until the British were finally forced out. Even if you were right about this (and you are not) the counter examples I listed earlier (as well as Portugal) would suffice to disprove any rule.
The British forced China to do what you want to do here. Why are you complaining about it? It got drugs legalized, didn't it? You just don't want to accept the fact that Legalized Opium was a DISASTER for China.


Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: I dunno, telling the truth has seldom been in favor for those wishing not to hear it. Maybe your methods perhaps?

Well, the absence of them certainly didn't cause it. That would be a neat trick. :)
This doesn't dispute what I said.

You appear to have taken my quote out of context. I was saying that the absence of drugs certainly did not cause a massive wide spread addiction.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Must have missed it. You probably did too, but not for lack of trying on my part.
Mark 4:12 is most assuredly written to you personally. I believe you're trying to make an argument even if you do seem to resort to trolling when you are frustrated. But in the future, I'm going to attempt to shorten my response according to the amount of effort I see you making. I'm not going to spend a couple hours researching and proofreading a post for you to make ad-hominem attacks. GIThruster did that and if that's how you end up arguing, you're free to sit at the kids table with him.

You suggest that people who want to keep Dangerous Substances out of the hands of those who would misuse them as tyrannical "Statists" and you think WE are being childish? If I don't express the appropriate degree of sympathy for the hours you've spent researching something it is because I paid my dues in that area a long time ago. I found it to be rather pointless.

Facts and evidence really don't carry much weight in this argument, and that is why I regard it as a religion for it's devotees.

Blankbeard wrote: Oh, ladajo, how about those studies you mentioned? I understand you're probably busy.

Ladajo has the patience of a saint. I find it far more satisfying to just mock and make wise cracks than I do to look up data that no one is going to pay any attention to anyways.

As you are new to this forum, I will point out to you that I have direct and personal experience with many people who were addicted to drugs, specifically crack and meth. (and pot, but that's trivial in comparison.)


I've seen what that sh*t can do first hand, and it's ain't pretty, and it ain't harmless.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

GIThruster
Posts: 4686
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 8:17 pm

Post by GIThruster »

Blankbeard wrote:In short, you are simply not competent to run anyone else's life. You have your hands full with your own.
Okay so, you really do support things like legalizing beastiality, don't you? You don't believe in any moral basis for government. You believe in setting conventions. "Everyone drive on the right side of the road" is fine because we have to have some conventions, but you don't believe government ever has a basis to make moral proscriptions. So there are no "shoulds" or shouldn't's in your notion of proper governance. If someone wants to frick sheep in the street in front of Ms. Sally's kindergarden class's trip to the zoo, you don't have a moral basis to say such a person shouldn't do what they want, because you don't recognize a moral basis for government at all. In fact, you can't even tell people they need to wear clothes.

This is why I said, and will always say, there are no libertarians with even a thimble full of common sense.
"Courage is not just a virtue, but the form of every virtue at the testing point." C. S. Lewis

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: See, now here is where you are trying to burn your strawman ventriloquist dummy. You ALLEGE that we are statists because we regard drugs as a DIRE THREAT to the lives of Innocent people, while you, seeing no threat whatsoever, think we are Nazi Totalitarians who just want to ruin your fun because we get off on it.
I refer to you as a statist because you hold statist positions.
Not at all. I hold reasonable positions. You just assert that they are statist. The dichotomy is based on the fact that you seem to think legalized drugs are harmless, while I regard them as a deadly peril. It is no different than wanting explosives to be kept out of the hands of those who would use them for harm.


Blankbeard wrote: I have not accused you of being either a Nazi or a totalitarian.
Other birds of the "statist" feather.

Blankbeard wrote: You are advocating for state control of drug use. That is a statist position.

It is the rational position of any non-insane state.

Blankbeard wrote: Given your posts in other threads, I conclude that you broadly support state enforcement of what might be termed "Traditional morals" either directly or indirectly.

Not sure what you are getting at here. I am in favor of the state enforcing laws that provide the maximum amount of freedom to a functional society. Read Paul Rahe's appeal to Libertarians and Conservatives for a better understanding of this point. Libertarian policies destroy freedom.




Blankbeard wrote:
If you take offense at that, let me ask, where's your dividing line?
There's that human tendency to want an artificial boundary again. It's not so simple. People favor binary answers, but the World is more a vector composite analog. Black and White lines are sometimes easy to draw, and sometimes not.


Blankbeard wrote:
Illicit drugs kill about 17,000 people and you think they're ban worthy.

That is not the only salient criteria. Apart from that point, were they legal, they would kill far more, as does Alcohol and Tobacco.

Blankbeard wrote: Legal drugs kill about the same. Ban or no ban? Alcohol kills 24,000 ban or no ban?
You obviously haven't read my past commentary on these topics. I am aware that some people handle Alcohol just fine, and others do not. My latest suggestion is for regulation based on competence in handling the drug. Issue everyone an "Alcohol License" (or a checkbox on their drivers license), and they can use it to purchase Alcohol until it is revoked for cause.

This should alleviate the problems resulting from the worst offenders while only being a slight annoyance for the responsible.


Blankbeard wrote:
Tobacco, close to half a million. Ban or no ban?

People are always wanting simple (and simplex) boundary style answers to everything they encounter. Like Alcohol, that ship has sailed long ago. At this point, a consistent, incremental ratcheting up of cost and restrictions are slowly choking the usage of this substance. Given enough time, we shall see if this is successful in eventually freeing people from tobacco addiction.


Blankbeard wrote:
Sugar is probably the leading cause of death in the United states, being a major factor in heart disease, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertension. Ban or no ban?

Sugar is also a foodstuff, and most of the ill effects occur as a result of each individuals own apathy. At some point, people have to be responsible for their own health and well being.

Blankbeard wrote:
Can you defend each of these decisions? Motor vehicles kill twice as many as illicit drugs. Ban or no ban?

Why do you guys ask stuff like this? It is a purposeless rhetorical point. The good accomplished by having motor vehicles outweighs the bad by several orders of magnitude. It's not even close. As I said, how many people something kills is not the sole deciding factor.



Blankbeard wrote: The point isn't your response. The point is that you can't claim to point to a "pile of bodies" and then ignore the much larger piles our everyday life generates, many of them just as socially useless as any illicit drug.

The pile of bodies dead from drug usage, or the other crimes related thereto serve no redeeming purpose in our society. Motor Vehicles, Sugar, and even Alcohol, do. (And tobacco too, if you want to stretch the definition far enough.)



Blankbeard wrote:
Let's take a close look at carbohydrates. They are physiologically and psychologically addictive. Humans are perfectly capable of living with no simple carbohydrates and low amounts of complex carbohydrates. Carbohydrates are implicated in insulin resistance, which is at the root of type II diabetes. This is one of the strongest links in modern medicine. But it doesn't stop there. Carbohydrates are thought to influence the course and development of psychosis. Some children can tolerate only very limited amounts of carbohydrates without the development of chronic disease. Carbohydrate consumption is linked to high cancer rates and "tooth rot" a condition similar to meth mouth. In short, virtually any bad thing you can say about illicit drugs, you can say about carbohydrate consumption except that carbohydrates have a body count each year that exceeds that of illicit drugs since the 1980's.

So, want to give me your reasons that carbohydrates shouldn't be regulated as tightly as marijuana, a comparatively harmless drug? Why don't you care about the poor dead addicts?

Nah, I consider your above argument to be pretty much without merit because among other things, it overlooks the necessity of carbohydrates to our ability to stay alive. If Opium fit into this category we would call it "Ketrocel White."


Image

Blankbeard wrote: Life is harmful, risky, and potentially deadly.

Sure it is, and once you have to live in the vicinity of drug addicts, you are in even more danger due to their drug habit. It is the duty of our authorities to protect us from such people.

Blankbeard wrote: Once you've decided you have the authority to protect people from their own consentual decisions, you've crossed the line. Any line you draw after than is arbitrary.

It isn't consensual once you've got a chemical hammering on the pleasure center of your brain. It's like trying to think coherently while someone is fellating you. Brains in such a state are severely impaired from making rational decisions.




Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: One of us has the more mature and realistic perspective, and I would argue, based on (among other things) the massive pile of dead bodies on your side of the argument, it is us.
I'm happy to leave issues of realism and maturity to the reader. I think I will fare the better in comparison.
If such things could only be decided by consensus, you would have a point. As reality is not subject to opinion, you do not. Many readers in here are far more screwed up than are you. I count their opinion as worthless. Indeed, oft times it is the perfect reverse barometer.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Protecting the public from drug addicts is a normal function of any government. It is no more "statist" than arresting murderers or rapists. People such as yourself don't want to hear it because you live in a fantasy world of belief that drugs don't hurt anyone.
Murderers and rapists coerce others. Drug users do not inherently.
What, are you kidding me? Drugs directly attack the functionality of the brain. Rapists only wish they had that kind of control. I have a friend who used to be a pimp. He could get any girl he wanted, all he had to do was get them started with pot, and in a week he'd have them smoking crack.

After that, he would have them begging to share theirs for another hit.



Blankbeard wrote: Driving while intoxicated is the same crime whether you're on alcohol or prescription drugs. Robbery is the same crime whether you do it to support a drug habit or to afford a car.

And here again, I notice that boundary thing. You want to categorize behavior as this or that, when in fact, it is a large range of conduct just incrementally different from one part to another. Pigenoholing it as this or that is often times just splitting hairs regarding definitions.

Blankbeard wrote: Again, I've never claimed drugs don't hurt anyone. You have to deal with the arguments I make, not the arguments you wish I would make..
I make a habit of pointing out that drugs hurt INNOCENT people. I also argue that drug Users are INNOCENT people until after some bastard introduces them to a substance that destroys their future. I have long said, that introducing someone to drugs is a very bad injury to them.



Blankbeard wrote:
Diogenes wrote: Given your looking up stuff like this to post, and given that you only joined this website in November, and given that 20 out of 30 of your posts so far are regarding drug legalization or some variant thereof, I suspect MSimon dug you up on one of his Libertarian websites somewhere and sent you here to be a soldier for the religion.

Normal people just don't follow the drug crap. I only got into it because I got so sick and tired of hearing that drug laws are the cause of everything wrong in the nation.

It doesn't matter. This Drug legalization idea is just another weed meme which will get burned up when the coming fire sweeps the prairie.
Ah, the coming fire. Ever hopeful of a vindication that never quite comes. I have no connection with MSimon but congratulations for being able to dig up the information I placed in my very first post. Since the rest is data free, I'm going to ignore it. Nice use of personal attacks though.
If you can do math as well as you can reason about drug addiction, then I am not surprised that you are unaware of the economic cataclysm heading down the pike. If you can demonstrate how such an event won't happen, I will be very grateful to you if you would point it out, because what I see scares the holy living sh*t out of me!


I see a future of printed paper alleged to be money, and of hyperinflation, followed by riots in the cities and government guns sent into the countryside so as to appease the rioters in the cities. When people finally realize that the only thing holding up the dollar is the fact that most people don't believe it can collapse, that is when it will.


By all means, disabuse me of this notion. It would be a relief.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Blankbeard
Posts: 105
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 9:56 pm

Post by Blankbeard »

Diogenes wrote: At least I got a concession out of you that they grow, which is in fact, the only salient point. If left alone, Drug usage grows.
Beanstalks grow too but that doesn't make Jack and the Beanstalk true. The rest of your post is just the same tired junk.

For those who are interested:

http://www.economist.com/blogs/americas ... ncy-mexico

An interview with the outgoing Mexican president. It seems they're a bit tired of burying their citizens (60k since he started his drug crackdown) and he wants the US to reconsider its drug policies.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the ... ml?hpid=z2

Which is happening.

http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/edito ... policy.ece

http://reason.com/archives/2012/07/11/v ... ot-victory

What happens if Central America simply stops the drug war? Hopefully we can find a drug policy that serves to minimize drug use without the level of societal harm we currently suffer.

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

williatw wrote:
Blankbeard wrote:
This is craven slander and you know it. I've posted evidence for all of my statements. Are you another clown like GIThruster? I rather believe you aren't. Do better.
Diogenes wrote: Oh, I don't know, you are making a pretty good case that you are an expert on not knowing something.
Look, I'm as guilty of indulging in the occasional ad hominem attack as the next guy but you really can't base an argument on them. Do better.Mark 4:12 is most assuredly written to you personally. I believe you're trying to make an argument even if you do seem to resort to trolling when you are frustrated. But in the future, I'm going to attempt to shorten my response according to the amount of effort I see you making. I'm not going to spend a couple hours researching and proofreading a post for you to make ad-hominem attacks. GIThruster did that and if that's how you end up arguing, you're free to sit at the kids table with him.
As far as Diogenes and GIThruster are concerned...you are pretty much getting their "A" game. If they had better you would have seen it.

Casting pearls before swine is a common enough occurrence for me. It is not my fault that so many people are misinformed and therefore hostile to having their world view challenged by actual facts.

Too many people spreading crap is the problem.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

93143 wrote:@Dio & Blank: You're both wrong.

...

An exponential function is y = a^x. The most common one is y = e^x, where e is a fundamental irrational constant roughly equal to 2.718. Interestingly, d(e^x)/dx is also e^x.

y = x^2 and the position of a falling object in a uniform gravity field are both quadratics, a type of polynomial, and they don't approach infinity anywhere near as fast as an exponential.

Also, a logarithm (the opposite of an exponential) does not approach a finite value. It approaches infinity just like an exponential does - but it is extraordinarily slow to do so; the natural logarithm of a billion is just under legal drinking age in the U.S....

A logistic function is a slightly more complicated function that incorporates an exponential. It is bounded between two asymptotes (generally zero and the carrying capacity, in its original usage) and is commonly referred to as an S-curve, though it is not the only possible kind...

I might have said "exponential" in one of my earliest comments on this subject, but I have been pretty consistently using the term "logistic" ever since. Yes, unlimited growth is not possible with a finite population. Diseases reach a plateau as a result of the limit imposed by available growth medium.

It is irrelevant to my point though. I normally refer to addiction in terms of percentage of population. Who is going to argue that a 50% addiction rate (well below the maximum possible) is acceptable?

The point is, it will not remain 2% if drugs are legalized. It will start climbing and will quickly reach an intolerable level of addiction.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

Diogenes
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 3:33 pm

Post by Diogenes »

Stubby wrote:
Blankbeard wrote:
williatw wrote: Looked over some of your links thanks for posting. I thought the consensus of opinion about alcohol prohibition is that it may have reduced overall alcohol consumption (hard to estimate illegal production/consumption though) but the side effects were worse than the benefits. Alcohol deaths caused by people drinking badly prepared alcohol often laced with poisons skyrocketed. The profits from the illegal trafficking caused a huge explosive growth in the power and reach of organized crime, causing crime in general to increase, gov corruption etc. (just like the war on drugs), abuse of civil liberties, loss of respect for law enforcement etc.
No problems. Facts are a good disinfectant :) Yeah, that's pretty much the consensus although I'd probably say there appears to be little evidence for a large increase in Alcohol related deaths. The problem is that there isn't a lot of good data from the period of Prohibition so it's very possible to read your preferred conclusion into the data. The first paper is contending that's what the mainstream consensus has done. The second uses a predictive model that reproduces the data we have which gives a measure of weight to its predictions of missing data. I find that quite useful.

And of course, then you have bias, politics, and the tendency of nearly every voice in the conversation to equivocate, exaggerate, and lie.
williatw wrote: As far as Diogenes and GIThruster are concerned...you are pretty much getting their "A" game. If they had better you would have seen it.
Oh my. Thanks for the heads up. I'll have to admit, when he claimed his knowledge was yet to be matched, I realized he was a buffoon. But I've already registered for the board. Maybe these posts will serve as a reference to some future person.
Actually of the 2 GiT is the more rational. digot is so far gone that it is not worth the effort of writing this sentence but it is saturday and I have some free time.

btw GiT love the royal 'we' regarding william. Classic and classy too!
He's just mad cause I kick his @ss every time he opens his mouth. Childish people always pull the "sour grapes" routine.
‘What all the wise men promised has not happened, and what all the damned fools said would happen has come to pass.’
— Lord Melbourne —

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