YU55: NASA spokesman '...no chance it will crash into earth'

chrismb · Post by **chrismb** » Thu May 05, 2011 9:46 pm

Coming to a place near you; Nov 8th, 2011.

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/giant-asteroid ... earth.html

Now, why did he have to go and say "YU55 poses no threat of an Earth collision". I mean, don't these people understand basic principles of the Law of Incompetent Determinism?

Betruger · Post by **Betruger** » Thu May 05, 2011 10:56 pm

More fuel for the orbital access fire.

Giorgio · Post by **Giorgio** » Fri May 06, 2011 9:44 am

We all know the end of the world is in 2012!
http://www.endoftheworld2012.net/2012predictions.htm

chrismb · Post by **chrismb** » Fri May 06, 2011 10:53 am

So if the prediction is end of the world in Dec 12 but this asteroid is visiting in Nov, then what happens over the year?

The article says it will pass around 220,000 miles from us - which sound like it is about a Moon away.

Might this asteroid hit our Moon? Maybe it dislodges the Moon, which then comes crashing down on us.

chrismb · Post by **chrismb** » Fri May 06, 2011 10:58 am

It's like a cosmic billiards game!!!

Giorgio · Post by **Giorgio** » Fri May 06, 2011 12:07 pm

chrismb wrote:It's like a cosmic billiards game!!!

Just imagine the size of the Pool Stick!!

KitemanSA · Post by **KitemanSA** » Fri May 06, 2011 4:31 pm

OMG, a Carbonaceous Chondrite! Carbon, water, nifty other stuff. It is almost like God is saying, "Here, I gift you with all you need. It is here within your reach. Come, slip the surly bonds of Earth and take your rightful place amoung the stars".

rjaypeters · Post by **rjaypeters** » Fri May 06, 2011 6:44 pm

It might be back in one hundred years, will we be ready to capture it? Our children and grandchildren deserve the chance.

seedload · Post by **seedload** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:05 pm

They also believe an even bigger asteroid has a one-in-a-thousand chance of colliding with earth in 2182.

Oh, snap! Anyone know that this one is?

ladajo · Post by **ladajo** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:23 pm

There is more than just that.
I can give you a better listing after Wednesday. I need to talk to some guys at Lincoln Labs first, and I'll be there Wednesday.

rcain · Post by **rcain** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:27 pm

... ah, NEO's, one of my favourite subjects.. and one of my favouriite sites:

http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2005%20YU55;orb=1

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/orbits/

shit loads hurtling about out there.

the maths, behind calculation of probability/risk of capture/impact in n-body systems, also horendous - fractal, butterflies-wing effect - have a good link on it somewhere which i've mislaid.

read recently, (some US?) NEO objects project had been granted 'continued funding', or was that 'reduced funding'. i cant recall, anyone?

Giorgio · Post by **Giorgio** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:34 pm

Just check the Near Earth Objects website:
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_ca
Lot of options to play with, have fun.

For the lazy people here is a link to a table already ordered for missing distance from today until 2200.
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_ca? ... t&sdir=ASC

Giorgio · Post by **Giorgio** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:38 pm

rcain wrote:... ah, NEO's, one of my favourite subjects.. and one of my favouriite sites:

You beat me to the post. One of my preferite website too

ladajo · Post by **ladajo** » Fri May 06, 2011 7:38 pm

There is a dude at Lincoln that specializes in this. I just want to hit him up again while I am there.

krenshala · Post by **krenshala** » Fri May 06, 2011 10:28 pm

Giorgio wrote:Just check the Near Earth Objects website:
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_ca
Lot of options to play with, have fun.

For the lazy people here is a link to a table already ordered for missing distance from today until 2200.
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_ca? ... t&sdir=ASC

Muahahaha

Object: 99942 Apophis
Close-Approach Date: 2029-Apr-13 21:46 ± < 00:01
Miss Distance Nominal :0.10 Lunar Diameters/0.00025 AU
Miss Distance Minimum :0.10 Lunar Diameters/0.00025 AU

13 April 2029 is a Friday!