Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2007 11:12 am
rexxam62,
Let me put this another way.
Think of all the tons of material that will have to be produced. All the tons of Earth that will have to be moved. All the concrete that will need to be poured. All the stuff that will have to be shipped and installed.
Or another point.
I was talking hybrids in 1998. There is just starting to be a significant market.
Any one can do a one of auto in a lab and talk about a bright future. The hard part is rolling out 500 million. First you need to make tools. Then you make components. Then assemblies. Then assembled autos. Each step of the way requires more tooling. Tooling takes time. Ever check the lead time on a punch and die set? Tens of thousands of them will be required.
If most of the components at each step are new then you are talking 2 to 3 years for each step.
Add more time if you are starting a new industry where the supply chain is weak.
If you have never tried to organize and schedule a supply chain you have no idea.
Let me put this another way.
Think of all the tons of material that will have to be produced. All the tons of Earth that will have to be moved. All the concrete that will need to be poured. All the stuff that will have to be shipped and installed.
Or another point.
I was talking hybrids in 1998. There is just starting to be a significant market.
Any one can do a one of auto in a lab and talk about a bright future. The hard part is rolling out 500 million. First you need to make tools. Then you make components. Then assemblies. Then assembled autos. Each step of the way requires more tooling. Tooling takes time. Ever check the lead time on a punch and die set? Tens of thousands of them will be required.
If most of the components at each step are new then you are talking 2 to 3 years for each step.
Add more time if you are starting a new industry where the supply chain is weak.
If you have never tried to organize and schedule a supply chain you have no idea.